I was talking about mean reversion in my post at the weekend and that was well timed, with the first spike down on Monday. The daily RSI 5 sell signal fixed and reached target and there was the first sustained break under the SPX 50 hour MA since the cross back above that in the...
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Coming Soon – Mean Reversion
I've been talking in my last few posts about expecting a significant high at the end of November, to be followed by a downward cycle into April 2020, and here we are at the end of November, so how's that looking here? Well as it happens a rare and significant event happened at the close...
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So Far, So Good
I remember my father giving me an example a long time ago of the dangers of forecasting through extrapolation, and it was to imagine a man who had stepped off the top of the Empire State Building, and was overheard to murmur as he fell past the 51st story 'So Far, So Good'. The point...
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Upside Targets
As I was saying in my last post, SPX should be back into an upwards cycle by the end of October and that would be likely to end by the end of November. SPX has duly now made new all time highs and is likely to go higher. Let's have a look at the most...
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Much Ado About Nothing
ES has spent the whole of October in a low cycle but so far the action has been all sideways, with a strong rally last week taking SPX back close to the highs on the hope of a China deal. There was a China deal, albeit more of a glorified breathing space while more talks...
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The Weekly Call – Trade Setups for the Week of October 6th
The Weekly Call provides perspective on high-quality setups and trading strategies focused in the Commodity world.. My current performance shows a 411% return since October 2016. My goal for this year by October is to have a 450% return for three years of running this blog, I am well on my way. The purpose of...
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Onwards And Downwards
It's been a while since my last post and my apologies for that. It has been an intense summer of medical treatments for my wife, exams and results for my children, computer upgrades and so on. I've been feeling somewhat drained. However the market has so far avoided being as tedious as it often is...
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The Weekly Call – Trade Setups for the Week of August 11th
The Weekly Call provides perspective on high-quality setups and trading strategies focused in the Commodity world.. My current performance shows a 416% return since October 2016. My goal for this year by October is to have a 450% return for three years of running this blog, I am well on my way. The purpose of...
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A Decent Start
SPX delivered some wild moves this week, helped along by the White House Staff's ongoing failure to gain control of the President's twitter account, but at the end of the week SPX has reached the obvious first target at a test of the 2915 support area, and there is a short term inflection point here....
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Topping Out Here …….. Probably
In my premarket video this morning for daily video service at theartofchart.net I was saying that until demonstrated otherwise I was expecting to see all time retests on ES and NQ before a possible swing high (and potential significant top). That high retest is at 3027.75 on ES and the high today so far has just missed...
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