[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I didn't really have time to fall much in love with the possible bull flag channel on SPX yesterday as it broke hard and SPX went directly to the main support level I was expecting to see tested later after a bounce. That level is rising support from the 2022 low in October which I...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I always try and keep an open mind, as too strong a directional view on any trading instrument can result in tunnel vision, where the analyst sees mainly or only the evidence that supports that view. That is an obstacle to good analysis, and for an analyst who trades, can get very expensive. In trading...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]On Thursday night last week I posted a public model trade on my twitter taking a short on ES at 4561.75 looking for the 4350 area. That trade was in thirds, I posted all entries and exits in real time on twitter, and I took the last two thirds at 4399 yesterday for an average...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has seen a decent retracement from the highs, the reversion to the mean target at the 45dma has been hit, and a lot of decent looking bull flags have been forming on US indices. SPX may now be close to a retracement low, and a daily RSI 5 buy signal fixed a couple of...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Pretty much everything I have written about in my last few posts on SPX delivered. The bull flag wedge from the high broke up. The IHS that then formed broke up and made target, and the bull flag made the target with a retest of the June high. So what now? Well I was saying...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was looking earlier this week on the very high quality falling wedge that had formed on SPX from the last high and considering the odds that it was a bull flag setting up a retest of the high. Since then the wedge has broken up, retraced about 50% of the decline, and an IHS...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Over the last few days SPX has been retracing and is approaching the first big support level. That is the daily middle band, which closed yesterday at 4312, with the low yesterday at 4328. That is a target that may be reached today. SPX daily BBs chart:[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="147307" img_size="large" alignment="center" onclick="img_link_large"][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]On the bigger picture, a...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Two weeks ago I was looking at the stats for near misses of the 3sd daily upper band on SPX and looked at the twelve comparable instances going back to 2007. Eleven of those delivered some kind of short term high afterwards, so the odds leaned strongly towards that, but the other delivered a four...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The high last Friday was only three handles below the close on the daily 3sd upper band, which is a rare event, so I did what I like to do with rare events, I looked back and crunched some numbers looking at previous examples. These are the stats I posted on Monday morning. There are...
read more[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my premarket video on Tuesday I was looking at the setup and the historical stats and, was saying that a consolidation was likely to start the week and, then we would see what the bulls could do with the very bullish historical stats on Thursday and Friday. Well, they came, they saw, and they...
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