Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #437. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
Market Overview
Equities:
- S&P 500: Closed at 4,135.76, up 0.8% for the week as rate cut expectations boosted sentiment.
- Nasdaq Composite: Gained 1.5% to 15,115.42, led by AI and semiconductor stocks.
- Dow Jones Industrial Average: Increased 0.6% to 35,112.89, with industrials and energy stocks showing strength.
Commodities:
- Gold: Trading at $2,082 per ounce, up 0.4%, benefiting from rate uncertainty.
- Silver: Increased 0.7% to $28.20 per ounce, as industrial demand held firm.
- Crude Oil (WTI): At $81.20 per barrel, rising 2.1% as supply disruptions continue.
- Natural Gas: Down 1.4% to $2.27 per MMBtu, as mild weather lowers demand.
Cryptocurrency:
- Bitcoin (BTC): Trading at $79,940, up 1.5%, rebounding on institutional demand.
- Ethereum (ETH): At $2,335, gaining 2.2%, supported by DeFi growth.
- Solana (SOL): Priced at $137.80, up 1.8%, as its network continues expanding.
Key Developments Impacting Markets
1. Jobs Report Strengthens Rate Cut Speculation
- February job gains came in at 129,000, slightly below expectations.
- Unemployment held at 4%, while wage growth slowed to 3.7% annually.
- Markets now expect a higher likelihood of rate cuts by mid-year, boosting equities.
2. Oil Markets See Supply Tightening
- OPEC+ hinted at potential supply cuts, keeping crude prices elevated.
- Red Sea shipping disruptions and U.S. sanctions on Russian oil added pressure to supply.
- Energy stocks outperformed as oil prices climbed.
3. Tech Sector Rebounds After Recent Pullback
- AI and semiconductor stocks surged on optimism around new industry investments.
- Nvidia, AMD, and Apple led the rebound, reversing last week’s sell-off.
- Hedge funds rotated back into growth stocks, lifting the Nasdaq.
4. Crypto Market Stabilizes With Institutional Support
- Bitcoin rebounded after major hedge funds increased exposure.
- Ethereum’s DeFi sector saw strong inflows as staking adoption expanded.
- Stablecoin regulations softened, reducing uncertainty in the digital asset space.
Emerging Crypto Projects
- Qubetics ($TICS): A high-speed Layer-1 blockchain gaining investor interest.
- Solaxy ($SOLX): A Layer-2 scaling solution enhancing Solana’s efficiency.
- BitYield ($BYLD): A yield-farming token with growing adoption in DeFi.
- Meme Vault ($MEME): A meme-based AI trading token showing early momentum.
Investor Insights
- Equities: The shift in rate cut expectations has boosted sentiment, but volatility remains a factor.
- Commodities: Oil and gold are holding gains, supported by supply risks and investor hedging.
- Cryptocurrencies: The crypto market is seeing renewed strength, with institutional interest and regulatory clarity improving sentiment.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
- Inflation Data: CPI and PPI reports will shape expectations for the Fed’s next move.
- Corporate Earnings: Key reports from financial and consumer sectors will provide insight into spending trends.
- Geopolitical Developments: Trade policy, energy markets, and global tensions will be closely watched.
Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
The Weekly Call can now be auto-traded on Striker.com. Just call Striker Securities and open an account of at least $25,000 and every trade I make here will be made for you automatically there. I am planning to use the same methodology and risk management approach with the auto-traded account at Striker that I have been using here. If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE. Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.