Tag: XLI

Holiday Rally Setup

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX closed below the main SPX support/resistance trendline at the end of last week. This trendline has broken twice since 2009, and both times SPX followed through hard. In 2011 SPX broke very hard through it and never broke back over it until until 2020. In 2020 SPX broke over it, then closed the next...

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Tag: XLI

SPX Breaks Main Support Trendline

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was disappointed to see SPX close well below the main support and resistance trendline on Friday. This has only happened twice since the start of 2009, and on both occasions SPX followed through the break with force. Two instances is somewhat less than a statistically significant sample, but further downside is now undoubtedly open,...

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Tag: XLI

Retest Interruptus

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]After the low last week very decent quality IHS patterns formed on SPX, NDX, IWM and Dow and broke up this week. They all failed, setting up targets at the retest of last week's lows, which would generally all be reached, so the fact that only Dow has delivered that retest so far tells us...

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