Tag: IWM

Approaching The Low Retest

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying in my premarket video on Monday morning that ideally what we would see this week is a rally on Mon/Tues, and then another leg down on Wednesday through Monday next week in line with the very bearish historical stats for these four days. So far that has delivered well, with FOMC on...

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Tag: IWM

The Downside Is Strong In This One

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying in my post on Monday that a fail at the test of the daily middle band generally happens in one of two ways. The first way is the usual test and fail, and the second is a break above that is rejected the next day. Obviously SPX took the second option and...

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Tag: IWM

Halfway Between The Gutter And The Stars

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX rallied further on Friday to test the monthly pivot at 4078, and has been trading above it overnight. A string of decent quality double bottoms have broken up on the equity indices and if we are to see further upside then the next big resistance on SPX is at the daily middle band which...

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Tag: IWM

Still Testing 3900

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The rally from the first backtest of 3900 was over too fast to set up any possible possible divergence on the daily RSIs. That means that there are no possible daily RSI buy signals brewing on the US equity indices, and that is a strike in favor of the bears. The inflection point here remains...

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Tag: IWM

Testing 3900

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The H&S patterns from the rally highs that I was looking at a week ago all made their target areas yesterday and SPX is now testing important support at 3900. This area was significant on the way up in early 2021, and was then key support in May, resistance in June, and was broken as...

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Tag: IWM

Rolling Over

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has reached a peak of 9.57% over the 45dma on this run. That's likely to be the highest reading as the 45dma is now rising significantly every day, and has risen 40 handles this week. We should now see a retracement that reaches at least close to the 45dma, now at 3971, and may...

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Tag: IWM

Grey Swans

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I wanted to take an opportunity to take stock of where this rally is in relation to the possible all time high retests that I was talking about in my post on 14th June just before the 2022 low was made. I have done three main posts looking at this and a possible news background...

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Tag: IWM

Still In The Inflection Point

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]If you missed our free public Chart Chat at theartofchart.net on Sunday then you can see the recording here or on our monthly free webinars page here. In that Chart Chat we were saying that a retest of the rally high was likely early this week, and we saw that yesterday. SPX has a daily...

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Tag: IWM

In The Inflection Point

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my last post on Tuesday I was talking about ideally seeing a higher high on this rally to set up divergence and we have since seen that on SPX, NDX and IWM. That has set possible daily RSI 5 and hourly RSI 14 sell signals brewing on SPX and brought SPX closer to the...

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Tag: IWM

Testing Main Resistance

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]When I started to write about the prospects for a decent rally on the 17th and 22nd June I was somewhat apologetic about even suggesting that a rally might be possible, as the background looked so grim and people were so relentlessly bearish. I was looking for strong rallies on the US equity indices and...

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