Tag: NDX

Testing The 2022 Low

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Last week I was looking for a new low on SPX for 2022 and we've seen that week. I was also wondering about a possible rally after that and SPX has been setting up nicely for that rally, even with news this week that has mainly been grim. Nonetheless it is a decent looking setup...

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Tag: NDX

Approaching The Low Retest

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying in my premarket video on Monday morning that ideally what we would see this week is a rally on Mon/Tues, and then another leg down on Wednesday through Monday next week in line with the very bearish historical stats for these four days. So far that has delivered well, with FOMC on...

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Tag: NDX

The Downside Is Strong In This One

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying in my post on Monday that a fail at the test of the daily middle band generally happens in one of two ways. The first way is the usual test and fail, and the second is a break above that is rejected the next day. Obviously SPX took the second option and...

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Tag: NDX

Halfway Between The Gutter And The Stars

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX rallied further on Friday to test the monthly pivot at 4078, and has been trading above it overnight. A string of decent quality double bottoms have broken up on the equity indices and if we are to see further upside then the next big resistance on SPX is at the daily middle band which...

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Tag: NDX

Still Testing 3900

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The rally from the first backtest of 3900 was over too fast to set up any possible possible divergence on the daily RSIs. That means that there are no possible daily RSI buy signals brewing on the US equity indices, and that is a strike in favor of the bears. The inflection point here remains...

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Tag: NDX

Testing 3900

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The H&S patterns from the rally highs that I was looking at a week ago all made their target areas yesterday and SPX is now testing important support at 3900. This area was significant on the way up in early 2021, and was then key support in May, resistance in June, and was broken as...

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Tag: NDX

On The Road To 3910

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my post on Friday I was looking for a fail at the backtest of the 4200 SPX area, and a break down from the H&S patterns forming on the US equity indices and we saw that fail and all the H&S patterns broke down. None of those have yet made target. SPX has broken...

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Tag: NDX

Backtesting 4200

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I had my final divorce hearing this week and that is settled and done. It was a strange sight, lawyers really do strain at gnats and swallow camels. I do wonder how often anything resembling justice is seen in these places and whether, if seen, it happens by chance. I'm glad to be done with...

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Tag: NDX

Broken Flags

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was looking at the equity indices on Sunday, and there were decent looking short term bull flags across the equity indices. These were a good indicator for a rally high retest next but they only break up about 70% of the time. The rest of the time they break down or evolve into larger...

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Tag: NDX

Grey Swans

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I wanted to take an opportunity to take stock of where this rally is in relation to the possible all time high retests that I was talking about in my post on 14th June just before the 2022 low was made. I have done three main posts looking at this and a possible news background...

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