The Weekly Call for April 20th

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #444. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.

Market Overview

Equities:

  • S&P 500: Ended the week at 4,232.15, down 0.5%, pressured by rising yields and global geopolitical risk.

  • Nasdaq Composite: Dropped 1.1% to 15,706.30, led lower by semiconductors and cloud computing names after cautious guidance.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Finished flat at 35,595.60, as gains in energy and defense balanced weakness in consumer cyclicals.

Commodities:

  • Gold: Trading at $3,076/oz, near all-time highs as central banks continue to accumulate and investors seek safety amid rising tensions.

  • Silver: At $30.10/oz, lifted by dual investor and industrial demand, with positive momentum across clean energy sectors.

  • Copper: At $4.45/lb, climbing on renewed optimism over Chinese infrastructure support and low warehouse inventories.

  • Crude Oil (WTI): At $76.35/barrel, up for the week on supply concerns tied to instability in the Middle East.

  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub): At $4.02/MMBtu, firming on unexpected U.S. weather shifts and stable export volumes.

Cryptocurrency:

  • Bitcoin (BTC): Recovered to $84,675, with ETF inflows resuming after early-week volatility tied to broader risk-off sentiment.

  • Ethereum (ETH): Holding at $1,842, as attention turns to its upcoming Cancun-Deneb upgrade and L2 migration strategies.

  • Solana (SOL): At $127.60, gaining strength as DeFi, NFTs, and validator participation continue to grow.

  • Dogecoin (DOGE): At $0.2345, boosted by a new retail integration and renewed meme token momentum.


Key Developments

1. Markets React to Geopolitical and Inflation Pressures

  • Ongoing military activity in the Middle East and cautious Fed commentary fueled a defensive tone across markets.

  • CPI data from last week reinforced sticky inflation trends, delaying rate cut expectations into late summer.

  • Gold, oil, and defensive equities outperformed, while tech and consumer names pulled back.

2. Fed Officials Signal Patience on Rate Cuts

  • FOMC speakers emphasized a need for more consistent inflation moderation before initiating easing.

  • The 10-year Treasury yield moved back above 4.45%, pressuring equity valuations and prompting rotation into commodities and utilities.

3. Ethereum and Solana Ecosystems in Growth Mode

  • Ethereum developers confirmed that Cancun-Deneb testnet stages are on track, with an expected mainnet launch in May.

  • Solana saw a surge in new wallet creation, validator count, and DeFi volume, with the EverUSD stablecoin now deployed across five protocols.

4. Early Earnings Results Favor Value Over Growth

  • Major banks posted better-than-expected results, highlighting loan resilience and healthy consumer spending.

  • Tech earnings begin this week and will set the tone for Q2 guidance and investor appetite for growth sectors.


Emerging Crypto Projects to Watch

  • ZeroLayer ($ZLY): Zero-knowledge privacy tools for Ethereum and EVM chains, integrating encrypted messaging and confidential transactions.

  • PulseVault ($PLSV): Decentralized health data protocol connecting wearables to DeFi insurance products.

  • GridMint ($GRDM): Real-world asset tokenization of energy grid balancing credits and clean infrastructure performance.

  • TradeCamp ($TCAMP): A gamified decentralized trading league where users earn rewards based on strategy performance.


Investor Insights

  • Equities: Expect continued sector rotation. Energy, utilities, and defense are outperforming, while tech may lag until earnings provide clarity.

  • Commodities: Strong momentum in metals and oil continues, with gold likely to remain elevated if macro uncertainty persists.

  • Crypto: Momentum is gradually returning, with capital rotating from meme tokens into utility-based and RWA-focused protocols.


Outlook for the Week Ahead

  • U.S. Q1 GDP (Thursday): Will signal the strength of early-year economic activity and influence Fed timing expectations.

  • PCE Inflation (Friday): The Fed’s preferred inflation measure — markets will be watching closely.

  • Big Tech Earnings: Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet will report — results could determine whether the Nasdaq continues higher or consolidates.

  • Crypto Catalysts: Final testing of Ethereum Cancun upgrade, major Solana validator milestone, and new stablecoin launches on Arbitrum and Base.

 

Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

The Weekly Call can now be auto-traded on Striker.com. Just call Striker Securities and open an account of at least $25,000 and every trade I make here will be made for you automatically there. I am planning to use the same methodology and risk management approach with the auto-traded account at Striker that I have been using here. If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE.   Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

20th Apr 2025

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