The Weekly Call for April 27th

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #445. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.

Market Overview

Equities:

  • S&P 500: Closed at 4,208.75, down 0.6% for the week as weak tech earnings and sticky inflation concerns weighed on risk sentiment.

  • Nasdaq Composite: Fell 1.5% to 15,470.80, led lower by semiconductor and cloud software names after cautious forward guidance.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Managed a small gain, ending at 35,650.40, as strength in energy and healthcare offset tech sector weakness.

Commodities:

  • Gold: Trading at $3,095/oz, holding near record highs driven by central bank demand and persistent geopolitical risks.

  • Silver: At $30.20/oz, following gold higher and maintaining strong industrial support from solar and EV sectors.

  • Copper: At $4.48/lb, rising on tight global inventories and improving sentiment around Chinese stimulus efforts.

  • Crude Oil (WTI): At $77.60/barrel, up slightly as Middle East tensions and declining U.S. inventories provided support.

  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub): At $4.10/MMBtu, gaining modestly amid cooler-than-normal U.S. temperatures and stable LNG exports.

Cryptocurrency:

  • Bitcoin (BTC): At $85,230, recovering after institutional spot ETF inflows resumed late in the week.

  • Ethereum (ETH): Trading at $1,872, gaining momentum ahead of the Cancun-Deneb upgrade.

  • Solana (SOL): At $130.40, steady as DeFi activity and GameFi user growth continue.

  • Dogecoin (DOGE): At $0.2405, ticking higher after new merchant integration announcements.


Key Developments

1. Big Tech Earnings Disappoint

  • Alphabet and Meta both reported earnings that missed analyst revenue expectations, driving broad weakness across the Nasdaq.

  • Cautious commentary on advertising and AI monetization timelines weighed heavily on sentiment.

2. PCE Inflation Remains Sticky

  • March PCE inflation came in slightly above expectations, reinforcing the narrative that the Federal Reserve will delay any rate cuts until late summer or early fall.

  • Bond yields climbed midweek but moderated slightly by Friday.

3. Commodities Hold Firm Amid Macro Risks

  • Gold continued to benefit from safe-haven demand.

  • Oil prices rose modestly as inventory draws and geopolitical concerns offset worries about slower global growth.

4. Crypto Markets Regain Momentum

  • Bitcoin stabilized and resumed its upward move thanks to renewed ETF inflows.

  • Ethereum and Solana ecosystems continued to build strength, with major upgrades and DeFi expansion driving participation.


Emerging Crypto Projects to Watch

  • VaultFi ($VFI): Treasury management protocol focused on optimizing yields for DAOs and institutional DeFi users.

  • NeonLayer ($NLYR): zk-rollup based privacy layer for Ethereum and compatible chains offering confidential smart contracts.

  • AtlasMint ($ATM): A cross-chain NFT minting platform simplifying multi-chain asset issuance.

  • SolarBridge ($SOLB): A platform tokenizing solar microgrid outputs into tradeable, blockchain-based energy credits.


Investor Insights

  • Equities: Defensive sectors like energy, healthcare, and utilities are outperforming; growth stocks remain vulnerable to higher-for-longer rate expectations.

  • Commodities: Gold remains well supported by macro uncertainty, and copper could continue to rally if Chinese demand measures take hold.

  • Crypto: Bitcoin and Ethereum show resilience; investor rotation into utility-driven projects and DeFi infrastructure continues to build.


Outlook for the Week Ahead

  • Federal Reserve Meeting (Wednesday): No rate changes expected, but Powell’s press conference will be critical for clues on future monetary policy.

  • Apple and Amazon Earnings: Upcoming tech earnings will determine if Nasdaq weakness continues or stabilizes.

  • Crypto Developments: Ethereum Cancun-Deneb upgrade progress, Solana validator growth, and multiple new DeFi launches on Arbitrum and Base.

  • Macro Data: Consumer confidence and initial jobless claims will offer fresh insights into U.S. economic resilience.

 

 

Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

The Weekly Call can now be auto-traded on Striker.com. Just call Striker Securities and open an account of at least $25,000 and every trade I make here will be made for you automatically there. I am planning to use the same methodology and risk management approach with the auto-traded account at Striker that I have been using here. If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE.   Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

Come see what we are trading – 

Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

27th Apr 2025

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