Welcome to this week’s Crypto Market Weekly Outlook, post #420, where we provide a comprehensive analysis of the latest developments and price movements across major cryptocurrencies. Stay ahead of the market trends with our expert insights on what to watch for in the coming days. This week, we continue to leverage our proprietary trading algorithm, designed to enhance your trading strategies and increase the odds of capturing significant gains in the volatile crypto mark
Cryptocurrency Market (Friday, February 6 close)
Bitcoin (BTC): ≈ $53,200, continuing a steady grind higher as ETF inflows remained consistent and volatility stayed compressed.
Ethereum (ETH): ≈ $2,820, extending gains on strong Layer-2 activity and sustained staking participation.
Solana (SOL): ≈ $145, outperforming majors as developer activity and consumer-app momentum accelerated.
XRP (XRP): ≈ $0.78, firmer as regulatory uncertainty continued to ease and sentiment improved.
BNB (BNB): ≈ $385, trending higher with consistent on-chain usage and exchange volumes.
Cardano (ADA): ≈ $0.72, improving alongside broader altcoin participation.
Dogecoin (DOGE): ≈ $0.14, modestly higher as speculative appetite expanded in a risk-on environment.
Key Market Drivers
ETF Flows Remain Supportive: Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows continued to provide a structural bid under BTC, anchoring the broader market.
Risk-On Cross-Asset Correlation: Strength in equities—particularly mega-cap tech and AI—continued to spill over into digital assets.
Fed Expectations Stable: Markets remained comfortable with a gradual, later-year easing path, reducing macro uncertainty for crypto.
Ethereum Network Strength: Layer-2 throughput and steady staking participation supported ETH’s relative outperformance.
Altcoin Breadth Improves: Capital began rotating beyond BTC and ETH into high-quality altcoins, led by SOL and select large-caps.
Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem News
AI + Crypto Theme Expands: Projects focused on decentralized compute, AI inference, and data marketplaces gained further traction as a defining 2026 narrative.
Real-World Asset Tokenization: Tokenized treasuries, private credit, and fund structures continued to attract institutional interest and development activity.
Ethereum Scaling Momentum: Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base sustained strong user growth and transaction counts, reinforcing Ethereum’s role as settlement infrastructure.
Solana Consumer Apps: New payments, gaming, and social applications launched across the Solana ecosystem, supporting continued relative strength.
Regulatory Backdrop Remains Calm: A quieter enforcement environment reduced headline risk and helped maintain constructive sentiment across major tokens.
Market Sentiment & Outlook
Short-Term Sentiment: Constructive but disciplined; momentum remains positive, though markets are increasingly sensitive to macro surprises.
Support / Resistance Levels:
BTC: Support $51,500–$52,000, resistance $55,000–$57,000.
ETH: Support $2,700–$2,750, resistance $3,000.
SOL: Support $138–$140, resistance $155.
Volatility: Implied volatility remains relatively low, leaving room for sharper directional moves if flows accelerate.
Medium-Term View: Structural tailwinds—ETFs, scaling solutions, AI integration, and institutional infrastructure—remain intact; near-term consolidation after recent gains would be healthy.
Strategy Note: Favor liquid leaders and infrastructure plays, respect extended conditions, and use pullbacks opportunistically rather than chasing momentum.
GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) volatility model
The following charts present 6-month historical price trends for the top eight cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, SOL, LINK, XRP, BNB, ADA, and DOGE), using the GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) volatility model, which is commonly used in financial markets to capture the clustering nature of volatility—periods of high volatility tend to follow high volatility, and calm periods tend to persist. Using recent return data, the model projects expected volatility levels and translates them into forecast price bands with midpoint targets and potential highs under strong momentum scenarios. This is trial for the next 4 weeks and will be enhanced.
Bitcoin (BTC)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±2–4%
• Likely range: $88,000 – $113,000
• Midpoint forecast: ~$100,500Potential upside:
• ~$122,000 if ETF flows return and macro improves.
Ethereum (ETH)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±2.5–4.5%
• Likely range: $3,000 – $4,300
• Midpoint forecast: ~$3,650Potential upside:
• ~$4,700–$5,000 with strong staking demand and upgrade momentum.
Solana (SOL)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±3–5%
• Likely range: $150 – $225
• Midpoint forecast: ~$187Potential upside:
• $240–$255 if DeFi/NFT throughput accelerates.
Chainlink (LINK)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±3–6%
• Likely range: $18 – $26
• Midpoint forecast: ~$22Potential upside:
• $29–$31 on CCIP adoption, RWAs, and cross-chain expansion.
XRP (XRP)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±3–5%
• Likely range: $2.30 – $3.00
• Midpoint forecast: ~$2.65Potential upside:
• $3.30–$3.50 if ETF rumors or regulatory clarity improves.
BNB (BNB)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±2–4%
• Likely range: $950 – $1,150
• Midpoint forecast: ~$1,050Potential upside:
• $1,200+ if DEX volume and chain activity rise.
Cardano (ADA)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±3–5%
• Likely range: $0.55 – $0.80
• Midpoint forecast: ~$0.67Potential upside:
• $0.90–$1.00 on network upgrade traction.
Dogecoin (DOGE)
Updated 90-day outlook:
• Daily volatility expectation: ±4–6%
• Likely range: $0.16 – $0.25
• Midpoint forecast: ~$0.205Potential upside:
• $0.28–$0.30 if speculative flows return.
Advanced Blockchain Investments
The previous post have included Advanced Blockchain Investments. The blockchain space has rapidly evolved beyond simple cryptocurrency trading, offering investors various innovative ways to maximize returns.

08th Feb 2026