The Weekly Call for April 13th

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #442. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.

Market Overview

Equities:

  • S&P 500: Closed at 4,252.90, relatively flat for the week, as markets balanced stronger inflation data against ongoing tech sector strength.

  • Nasdaq Composite: Gained 0.6% to 15,882.70, fueled by continued demand for AI and semiconductor names.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up 0.3% to 35,602.40, supported by energy and industrials.

Commodities:

  • Gold: Trading at $3,052/oz, climbing on heightened geopolitical concerns and strong central bank demand.

  • Silver: At $29.85/oz, up modestly, tracking gold and bolstered by industrial sector demand.

  • Copper: Holding at $4.41/lb, steady amid supply tightness and optimism about Chinese stimulus.

  • Crude Oil (WTI): At $73.20/barrel, edging down as U.S. production offsets OPEC+ output cuts and geopolitical tension.

  • Natural Gas (Henry Hub): At $3.89/MMBtu, softening slightly with spring temperatures capping demand.

Cryptocurrency:

  • Bitcoin (BTC): Trading at $82,940, easing on macro pressure and slower ETF inflows.

  • Ethereum (ETH): At $1,799, steady ahead of the Cancun-Deneb upgrade.

  • Solana (SOL): At $119.75, consolidating as new DeFi applications launch.

  • Dogecoin (DOGE): At $0.2210, flat after the meme coin rally cooled off.


Key Developments

1. March CPI Comes in Hot, Delays Rate Cut Expectations

  • The U.S. CPI report came in above expectations, reducing odds of a rate cut in the first half of the year.

  • Bond yields moved higher, pressuring growth stocks midweek before tech-led strength helped stabilize major indices.

  • The Fed’s next steps remain data-dependent, with markets now expecting a potential cut no earlier than July.

2. Gold Breaks Higher Amid Safe-Haven Demand

  • Continued geopolitical unrest in the Middle East and Ukraine has pushed gold to new highs.

  • Central banks in Asia and the Middle East continued accumulating gold reserves, supporting price momentum.

3. Ethereum Advances Toward Major Network Upgrade

  • Ethereum developers successfully launched Cancun-Deneb on testnet, with mainnet deployment targeted for Q2.

  • The upgrade aims to reduce gas fees and expand Layer-2 efficiency, increasing scalability for dApps.

  • Staking participation continues to rise with nearly 32 million ETH now locked.

4. Crypto Shifts Toward Utility and Infrastructure Projects

  • Traders rotated out of meme coins and back into RWA, AI-integrated protocols, and cross-chain DeFi infrastructure.

  • Ethereum and Solana saw increased activity around ecosystem launches, with gas and staking metrics both trending positive.

  • Regulatory developments around stablecoins in the U.S. and EU have renewed focus on transparency and reserves.


Emerging Crypto Projects to Watch

  • EverUSD: A new Solana-based stablecoin attracting DeFi protocol integration and bridge activity.

  • BlockTank ($BTNK): Asset management dApp offering decentralized AI-driven portfolio strategies.

  • DripChain ($DRPC): Real-world asset tokenization of utility-scale water and energy infrastructure.

  • SageAI ($SAI): A decentralized inference platform where developers can deploy AI models to earn compute rewards.


Investor Insights

  • Equities: Strong tech earnings may keep markets buoyant, but rate-sensitive sectors remain vulnerable to inflation surprises.

  • Commodities: Gold’s upside could continue if global tensions escalate or inflation remains sticky. Watch copper for supply-led moves.

  • Crypto: Consolidation is likely to continue in the short term, but Ethereum’s upcoming upgrade and growth in Solana’s dApp layer keep long-term prospects strong.

 

Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

The Weekly Call can now be auto-traded on Striker.com. Just call Striker Securities and open an account of at least $25,000 and every trade I make here will be made for you automatically there. I am planning to use the same methodology and risk management approach with the auto-traded account at Striker that I have been using here. If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE.   Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

13th Apr 2025

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