Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #469. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
U.S. Markets (Friday, September 19 close)
S&P 500 (SPY): Closed near 6,664.36, up ~0.49% on the day.
Nasdaq Composite (QQQ): Around 22,631.48, up ~0.70%, hitting record highs.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA): Approximately 46,315.27, up ~0.40%.
Global Markets
FTSE 100 (UK): Modest gains, though held back by currency headwinds and weaker data from Europe.
DAX (Germany): Pushed higher by rebound in industrials; mixed sentiment amid export concerns.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Ticked up, supported by tech & semiconductor-exports; energy costs and global slowdown risks still eyed.
Shanghai Composite (China): Flat to slightly soft, as investors await clarity on stimulus and regulatory guidance.
Commodities Snapshot (Friday close)
Gold: Elevated, supported by rate-cut expectations and inflation risks.
Silver: Slightly stronger, tracking both safe-haven demand and industrial use.
Copper: Mixed; infrastructure demand remains a support, but supply concerns offset some upside.
Crude Oil (WTI): In the mid-$70s range (per barrel), pressured by demand concerns and expectations of higher global production.
Natural Gas: Stable to slightly lower, easing weather-related demand offset by supply constraints in some regions.
Cryptocurrency Market (Friday close)
Bitcoin (BTC): ~ $116,900–$117,000, showing resilience post-Fed rate cut; trading near recent highs.
Ethereum (ETH): Around $4,500, consolidating after strong moves; resistance around $4,600.
Solana (SOL): Slightly weaker this week, down a percent or two, amid broader altcoin pullbacks.
Other tokens (XRP, BNB, ADA etc): Mixed performance — some modest gains, many flat or slightly down as profit-taking sets in.
Key Market Drivers
- Federal Reserve rate cut: The Fed cut rates by 25 bps mid-week (first cut of 2025), which spurred gains across equities.
- Inflation remains sticky: Recent CPI / PCE / producer price data suggest inflation has not cooled as aggressively as hoped, keeping markets cautious.
- Investor flow & valuation concerns: Despite record highs for major indices, there have been large outflows from equity funds as investors take profits.
- Tech & AI momentum: Strong tech leadership, including major deals (e.g. Nvidia-Intel partnership) helped fuel sentiment.
- Trade & geopolitical easing: Progress in U.S.-China trade talks (including a deal around TikTok’s U.S. operations) boosted risk appetite.
- Options expiries & volatility: Crypto saw elevated implied volatility ahead of large Bitcoin & Ethereum options expiries; max-pain strike levels were being watched.
Emerging Crypto / New Projects & News
- Tether launches USAT stablecoin: Announced a new U.S.-based stablecoin called USAT, to comply with recent stablecoin regulation, targeting issuance by end of 2025.
- Ethereum infrastructure strength: Spot ETH ETFs saw large inflows, tilting some institutional interest toward ETH beyond just store-of-value narratives.
- Altcoin support & resistance levels forming: ETH consolidating below “resistance (~$4,600)” and defending support in the ~$4,500 area; broader altcoins showing mixed momentum.
- Max-pain & options dynamics: Significant crypto options expiries around BTC & ETH accentuated near-term volatility; some positioning suggests divergence in bullish vs bearish bets.
Outlook for Next Week
- Inflation metrics & Fed commentary: Key inflation reads (especially core PCE) and comments from Fed officials will be scrutinized for signals on future rate cuts.
- Earnings calendar: Big tech & industrial earnings coming up; performance here could tilt investor optimism, especially given lofty valuations.
- Crypto catalysts: Watch for regulatory moves, further stablecoin/stakeholder launches, and clarity on infrastructure/ecosystem upgrades.
- Geopolitical / trade developments: U.S.-China negotiations, tariff stability, and other policy moves could influence both equities and risk assets.
- Volatility risks: With options expiry, rate uncertainty, and investor positioning stretched, downside risks remain if data disappoints or regulators intervene
Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.
21st Sep 2025
