Category: Indexes

Likely Bull Flags Forming

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]My last post was a couple of weeks ago now and in that time the retracement that I was expecting has been playing out, though the main target, rising support from the March low, now in the 3745 area, has not yet been tested, and may well not be before we see a high retest....

read more

Category: Indexes

So Here We Are Then – SPX Update

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Firstly my apology for the lack of an update last week. As I've mentioned, I'm negotiating my way through a difficult divorce at the moment, and some weeks are harder than others. On the harder weeks I struggle to get any posts done. As the weeks and months pass everything should be resolved and I...

read more

Category: Indexes

Hitting Wedge Resistance

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying in my last post on Friday afternoon that the low made that day looked nice, with touches of the daily middle band and shorter term (from Nov low) rising wedge support on SPX. I was leaning towards seeing a retest of the all time high, which we have seen and more. Now...

read more

Category: Indexes

Support Test and Inflection Point

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The research I am doing on the 45dma over the last 25 years is a bigger job than I expected so I should have the post out on that next week. In the short term though, equity indices have been looking pretty interesting and and are at a significant short term inflection point here. The...

read more

Category: Indexes

A Strong Start to 2021

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]My daughter went back to university on Saturday and that was the end of the holidays for me. They were the most relaxing for me in years which was nice, but all good things come to an end. The UK is back on full lockdown until at least March due to the new COVID variant...

read more

Category: Indexes

A Most Interesting Year

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Tomorrow is the last trading day of 2020 and with new Year's Day on Friday we get another long weekend into the start of 2021 next week. This has been a really interesting year, though a very hard one for many, and will leave a legacy for economies and markets that will likely ripple through...

read more

Category: Indexes

Tis The Season

It has been a grim year and I, and many others, will be very glad to leave it behind, but even with maximum lockdown spreading rapidly across the UK with the new virus mutation, I have a great holiday weekend planned with roaring fires, presents, great food, homemade pancakes, (probably too much) chocolate, board games...

read more

Category: Indexes

Annus Horribilis

Occasionally there is a year so awful that nothing seems to go right. The title phrase was first used in a Church of England publication in 1870, the year that papal infallibility was declared, Prussia invaded France, Italy annexed Rome, Lenin was born and the US weather service made their first official forecast. 2020 is...

read more

Category: Indexes

Topping Trendlines

I was saying in my last post on Monday that a retest of the high looked likely and we saw new all time highs on both SPX and NDX as expected. So what now? Well the best pattern on the board on Monday was the rising wedge on the Dow, and that is still looking...

read more

Category: Indexes

Thanksgiving Thoughts – Shorter Term

November is about to end and SPX is likely at the time of writing to do something not previously done in the last twenty five years, which is to close a long way above the monthly upper band, currently 3566 area, only three months above the last strong punch close above in August. What does...

read more