Indexes – The Art Of Chart

Category: Indexes

Knock On Wood

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was talking to a trader friend about resistance levels a few years ago and I remember him saying to me that the more often you knock on a door, the more likely it is to open. In effect what that means that however strong a resistance level is, and however often an index may...

A Tale Of Two Indices

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]A decent quality rising wedge has formed from the early March low, and that broke down last week. That could be a bullish underthrow of course or the wedge could be expanding. If wedge resistance is hit again today then at minimum I will assume the wedge has expanded, and redraw the wedge support trendline...

Back At Major Resistance

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Well the bearish stats for Wednesday and Thursday this week did not deliver, which was remarkable yesterday as at the start of the day there were hourly sell signals fixed on all of ES, NQ, RTY & YM. That equities went up hard instead was an impressive show of strength, bringing SPX back up into...

Compression and NDX Patterns

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has been trading in a range and moving back and forth through the daily middle band, with strong established support in the 4100 area, but unable to convert it to convincing support or resistance. SPX daily BBs chart:[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="145445" img_size="large" alignment="center" onclick="img_link_large"][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]NDX has led this rally, and already surpassed the previous highs. SPX has...

Indecision

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]A lot of indecision on the markets this week but on the bigger picture SPX remains under major resistance at the monthly middle band and the main support/resistance trendline. There is no obvious reason I can see to think that may break up now, but if bears fail to hold the short term resistance here...

Rolling Over

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]So far, the reversal at strong resistance at the monthly middle band and the main support/resistance trendline from the 2009 low is proceeding as expected. The next three weeks lean bearish, with strongly bearish leaning days Thursday 11th May, Wednesday & Thursday 17th & 18th May before we see the next strongly bullish leaning day...

A Decent Start

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]So far, the reversal at strong resistance at the monthly middle band and the main support/resistance trendline from the 2009 low is proceeding as expected. Monday was bullish as expected, there are high quality double tops formed on SPX/ES, NDX/NQ and INDU/YM. Yesterday there was a decent rejection from Monday's highs and today, leaning 61.9%...

Mayday

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX broke up through the possible H&S setup on Friday and delivered a full retest of the April high, closing the month six handles under key resistance at the monthly middle band and testing the main support/resistance trendline from the 2009 low. So what now? Well, this is the main resistance that SPX has been...

Possible High Being Made

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX went down a little further than was ideal, and then rallied very hard yesterday, so the topping pattern scenario is still on track. The break below the daily middle band confirmed on Wednesday and SPX broke back hard over the middle band again yesterday. A close over 4115 again today will confirm the break...

Topping Step One Completed

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was talking on Friday and Monday about the likely topping process now in progress on SPX here, and the possibility that SPX would head down into the possible H&S neckline in the 4070 area, supported by the daily RSI 5 sell signal that had fixed. That target was reached yesterday, and the daily RSI...