[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was writing on Friday about the nice looking rally setup on SPX and NDX particularly but obviously SPX was close to first resistance at the daily middle band and I was doubtful about that being broken on Friday, and it wasn't broken then, or indeed yesterday. This morning though, SPX has gapped over the...
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ChatGPT Apocalypse Postponed
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I had been reading on and off for a month or so that ChatGPT had been forecasting a market crash on the Ides of March this year, and so was watching that with very mild interest yesterday to see whether this latest claimant to the Nostradamus throne might have any luck, but the day passed...
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No Improbability Drive
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying on Wednesday that the decent looking bullish setup was still there, but in the light of the Fed Chairman's candid comments about future policy over the last few days a significant drive higher was looking improbable. I was looking for a test of weekly pivot at 4007 and then a fail there...
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The Dove That Didn’t Coo
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was writing about the very attractive looking bull flag setups on SPX, NDX and IWM that are setting up possible tests of the February highs. We saw the retracement that I was expecting then but SPX has broken back below the weekly pivot at 4007 on the press conference yesterday by the Fed Chairman....
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A Cluster Of Flags
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Support has been tested hard over the last couple of weeks on SPX, and the week before last there was a potentially interesting break below the 50 week moving average, currently at 4002, and then a test of the weekly middle band, now at 3960. Had SPX managed to close last week again below the...
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Rallying From Major Support
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]We saw the breakdown on SPX that I was warning about on my last post, and so far SPX is finding support in the 4000 area, which is the obvious support level as there is an intersection of decent support levels here. There are hourly buy signals fixed overnight on all of the six equity...
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Possible Break Down Starting
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was hoping that SPX would go higher and test a possible resistance trendline in the 4300 area and that is still possible, but reviewing the charts over the weekend there is a strong possibility that SPX is about to break down. So far the high is a near perfect backtest of the monthly middle...
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Very Important Resistance Area Here
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The possible H&S I was looking at on Friday morning didn't form and the move to retest the prior high has done some interesting technical damage to the bear case, so I wanted to have a look at that this morning. The SPX hourly chart below shows the break over declining resistance from the all...
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Turning As Expected So Far
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I'm finding it difficult to get back into doing more than one post a week. I shall try hard to get two out next week. On SPX a week ago I was looking for a reversal under declining resistance from the all time high, and ideally a decline and high retest to set up a...
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Friday The Thirteenth
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I mentioned in my post a week ago that on a break back over the daily middle band there were fixed buy signals on the daily and hourly charts that might carry SPX significantly higher and so it was, with SPX hitting 3997 at the high yesterday, and those buy signals have now all made...
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