The Weekly Call for July 5th

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #515. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.

U.S. Markets (Thursday, July 2 close)

S&P 500 (SPY): Closed near 7,515, finishing essentially flat for the shortened holiday week.

Nasdaq Composite (QQQ): Around 27,180, slightly lower on the week as semiconductor stocks continued to consolidate after an exceptional first half of the year.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA): Approximately 52,450, closing at another record high and posting its fourth consecutive weekly advance.

U.S. markets ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note. A weaker-than-expected June employment report reduced immediate concerns about additional Federal Reserve tightening, supporting the Dow while investors continued rotating away from AI-related semiconductor names into financials, healthcare, and industrial companies.


Global Markets

FTSE 100 (UK): Higher on the week as lower interest-rate expectations supported financials and commodity producers.

DAX (Germany): Reached fresh record highs as European equities benefited from easing rate concerns and improving industrial activity.

Nikkei 225 (Japan): Higher after stronger regional manufacturing data offset weakness in semiconductor shares.

Shanghai Composite (China): Modestly higher as improving manufacturing activity and additional policy support lifted sentiment.

Global markets posted their strongest weekly performance since early May as softer U.S. employment data reduced expectations for additional near-term interest rate increases.


Commodities Snapshot (Thursday close)

Gold: Around $4,180/oz, posting its strongest weekly gain in over a month as lower Treasury yields increased demand for defensive assets.

Silver: Near $62.80/oz, rebounding alongside gold as industrial metals recovered.

Copper: Around $6.22/lb, recovering as manufacturing activity improved across Asia.

Crude Oil (WTI): Around $69–$70/barrel, remaining near three-month lows as Middle East shipping normalized and OPEC+ supply expectations stabilized.

Natural Gas: Near $3.10/MMBtu, little changed as summer electricity demand balanced improving production.

Commodity markets reflected a softer inflation outlook. Gold benefited from declining rate expectations while oil continued to trade well below the highs reached during the Middle East conflict.


Cryptocurrency Market (Thursday close / weekend levels)

Bitcoin (BTC):$62,500–$63,000, recovering further as ETF inflows resumed and macro conditions became more supportive.

Ethereum (ETH):$1,750–$1,800, improving but still trailing Bitcoin’s recovery.

Solana (SOL):$80–$83, continuing to outperform most major altcoins.

XRP (XRP):$1.12–$1.16, gradually strengthening as institutional interest remained steady.

BNB (BNB):$580–$590, maintaining relative strength among large-cap cryptocurrencies.

Cardano (ADA):$0.15–$0.16, stabilizing after several weeks of weakness.

Dogecoin (DOGE):$0.078–$0.080, modestly firmer as speculative activity improved.

Crypto markets improved for a second consecutive week as Bitcoin reclaimed additional ground above $62,000 while institutional ETF flows turned positive again.


Key Market Drivers

  • Weak employment data shifted Fed expectations: June payroll growth came in below expectations, reducing pressure for additional near-term interest rate increases.
  • Rotation continued beneath the surface: Investors continued moving from high-valuation semiconductor stocks into financials, healthcare, and industrial companies.
  • Oil remained subdued: Falling energy prices helped reinforce the market’s view that inflation pressures continue easing.
  • Gold benefited from lower yields: Precious metals rallied as Treasury yields declined following weaker labor market data.
  • Bitcoin regained momentum: Improving ETF inflows and reduced rate concerns supported the strongest weekly crypto performance in several weeks.

The dominant theme remained a rotation within risk assets rather than a broad market correction. Investors continued rewarding companies with stable earnings while selectively adding exposure to high-quality growth opportunities.


Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem News

  • Tokenized securities continued expanding: Additional financial institutions announced initiatives involving tokenized stocks, fixed income products, and settlement infrastructure.
  • Bitcoin ETF inflows returned: Positive ETF flows resumed after several weeks of outflows, improving institutional sentiment toward digital assets.
  • Real-world asset tokenization accelerated: Treasury products, private credit, and institutional settlement networks remained among the fastest-growing blockchain applications.
  • AI infrastructure projects remained active: Blockchain-based AI compute, decentralized inference networks, and distributed data platforms continued attracting development activity.
  • Institutional infrastructure remained the primary investment theme: Custody, compliance, brokerage integration, tokenization, and regulated investment products continued receiving the strongest institutional support.

The long-term institutional crypto narrative remains centered on infrastructure rather than speculation. Bitcoin continues leading capital flows while tokenization and regulated financial products expand steadily.


Outlook for the Week Ahead

  • Macro calendar: Investors will focus on Federal Reserve meeting minutes, early second-quarter earnings guidance, and additional labor market data.
  • Equities: The key question is whether the current rotation broadens into additional sectors or whether technology leadership quickly reasserts itself.
  • Crypto levels to watch:
    BTC: Support around $61,000–$62,000, resistance around $64,000–$66,000.
    ETH: Support around $1,700–$1,750, resistance around $1,900–$2,000.
    SOL: Support around $78–$80, resistance around $86–$90.

 

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

 

Come see what we are trading –  Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

05th Jul 2026

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