Below is the Wednesday Morning Update as what we discussed in the indexes is unfolding nicely. The video is short and sweet and it covers SPX, RUT, ES, Oil, USD, and Gold. As mentioned Sunday, this week has been a week of turns and another one is coming on the Indexes.
Please make sure the HD button is on and maximize the screen for best viewing. The HD version should be done 5 minutes after this post goes up. Until then, this is the SD version. You may wish to wait for the HD version for best viewing.
Good Luck the rest of the week 🙂
12th Aug 2015
Hi Stan, are you around to day?
We hit a FIBO CLUSTER you talked about at 2046.75 (HIT 47) and bounced…….Lower?
john – your question answered above
Hi Stan- do you have a hard stop on the dollar? If it breaks through 96.00 are you giving it much room to recover? thx
current low is 96 or should say 95.985 – we are at support and also a bar 7 on my count so expect in two bars a bounce – next 30 minutes – or else we will see 95.30ish as the next support – where you put your stop is your decision based on your risk parameters
Thanks the response Stan. Looks like 65 was crossed…looking for somewhere around 57-54 on a pullback to add longs…thoughts on those levels? thx
three back to 55-56 then lower – like the 39-41 area for a turn. If we break 65’s before seeing turn area would look for higher low for a long
Could ES 2046.75 be the low for the day?
Seems to be putting higher low in the indexes.
Hey Stan, is today’s SPX 2052 “the” low for this move, or is around 2040’s still in play? (Maybe another turn lower tomorrow, but how low?)
Hello …..any & everyone…..Resistance at 2068.91 = Lower high ? like IHS?
Meant to say a : A higher low……
That would now be my thinking matey. Lets see how we close tho
Looking for an opportunity to go LONG in case a higher low we see..
Think we see SPX ~2045 tested at minimum. If that level is broken with force we could see much lower prices, down to 1955-1990’s. There would be bounces along the way, but Aug/Sep is a very volatile, dangerous time-frame when new lows can be made.
Gap fill under way http://screencast.com/t/yxiaSpnOZC5h And maybe a trangle test , on the daily , broken up & through now
Now it looks like we test yesterdays close 209 on the SPY
Mike are you charting?
I have done charts in the past, but leave that for the folks I follow to do mostly.
I think we back tested SHJ wedge SPX http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=2&dy=19&id=p25542825377&a=419208381
Bear market type rally today – if monthly pivot does not break highly likely we see lower prices tomorrow
Stan,
Thanks for your comment on the bear market rally and the monthly pivot. You confirmed my thoughts at the close today. Earlier you said you were long /dx. If you’re long /dx, I assume you’re short /gc and /6e. Good trading tomorrow.
I did not really see the fib clusters Stan was talking about but I did mark my chart at that level,and it was a perfict hit , 7:30 am Euro time the pivot has broken: http://screencast.com/t/AFHAd2Oe
Here they are : http://screencast.com/t/oFO2ePt4v
A hit of the falling resistance before a another leg lower? I think if ES can stay elevated above the pivot at US open and hold it for the morning session STAN and SJ may be favoring a break of that resistance trendline for the final bull ramp to their 2165/2195 target. I am staying neutral/bullish at the moment primarily because greed/fear indexes are still closer to fear than greed, indicating dips are to be bought at the lower end of the ranges…. This can only be overridden by a major market event and currently china have just devalued which is holding things steady (because in essence they have indirectly tightened for the FED due to them being 20% of US imports) and greek risk is also out of the picture for the short term at least…. Let me know your thinking on this JF/ Stan/ SJ, need a second opinion!
Hi Xan glad to have YOUR opinion: “greed/fear indexes are still closer to fear than greed, indicating dips are to be bought at the lower end of the ranges” Fascinating !
Politics are out of my range. Yesterday the SPX won the MP fight and dragged the E Ms back down under the MP and under the 2083 SR level . The surprise for me was that the MPs are at different levels on the SPX vs E Ms and therefor do not test the MPs at the same time.
The E Ms have found support on SHJs triangle as of 9:17 AM Euro time http://screencast.com/t/Rbu0eeOggl9
But before I go on , I better watch Stan’s Friday video
This morning – stuck between the middle BB band on a daily basis and the monthly pivot. Monthly was broken overnight and been tested as support once. The middle BB is resistance so far – cash index going to vote this morning so watch for a break in either direction. If we break the middle BB on a daily basis we have a clear bullish sign and likely we go higher to 2165ish. ES 93.50 is middle BB. Break the monthly and back test it as resistance and we have a bearish signal. Let’s see what the bears have this morning on the open.
Hi Stan; can we say that lower low on SPX is highly likely today?
Backtesting M Pivot now
No close above 2,085.49 on SPX on hourly basis..
Tried the Princeton trader 2W trial , looks interesting , lots of chatter about real time chart activity BUT I will have to try another computer , having lots of problems with these types of applications.
BTY does anyone use worden brothers TC2000?????????
On the SPX the MP was backtested on the HR chart and failed : On the Emin price just fell bellow the M pivot , The two do not line up, E min broke above for a while & now broke down: SPX only backtested and failed ………so far