The Weekly Call for August 31st

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #466. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.


U.S. Markets (Friday, August 29 close)

  • S&P 500 (SPY): Closed near 6,460.3, down approximately 0.6% as markets paused ahead of the holiday.

  • Nasdaq Composite (QQQ): Around 21,455.6, sliding 1.2%, pressured by tech and AI stock weakness.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA): At about 45,544.9, slightly lower by 0.2%.


Global Markets

  • FTSE 100 (UK): Slightly softer amid subdued energy rally and risk-off sentiment.

  • DAX (Germany): Modestly down, weighed by weakening industrial outlook.

  • Nikkei 225 (Japan): Mixed trade, with export gains offset by global caution.

  • Shanghai Composite (China): Flat as investors await fresh economic policy signals.


Commodities Snapshot (Friday close)

  • Gold: Near $3,500/oz, propped by safe-haven demand during thin, holiday trading.

  • Silver: Around $37.5/oz, steady amid muted equity activity.

  • Copper: Approximately $4.45/lb, stable with continued infrastructure demand.

  • Crude Oil (WTI): Around $64.2/barrel, easing amid inventory softness and trade jitters.

  • Natural Gas: Near $3.05/MMBtu, supported by persistent summer consumption.


Cryptocurrency Market (Friday close)

  • Bitcoin (BTC): Trading near $110,125, slipping about 2.7% amid broader market pullbacks.

  • Ethereum (ETH): Around $4,376, down roughly 5.2% following options expiry and volatility.

  • XRP: Near $2.87, retreating with fading speculative momentum.

  • Dogecoin (DOGE): At approximately $0.214, shedding earlier gains amid market-wide weakness.


Key Market Drivers

  • Options Expiry & Liquidations: ~$15 billion in BTC/ETH options expired, triggering sharp deleveraging and price corrections.

  • Macro & Fed Sentiment: Sticky inflation measures and the fading of rate-cut expectations led to cautious sentiment across risk assets.

  • Seasonal Thinning: Liquidity dried up ahead of Labor Day, prompting early profit-taking and muted price action.

  • Crypto Sell-Off: Broad declines hit ~95 of top 100 coins as institutional flows turned cautious and sentiment soured.


Emerging Crypto Projects to Watch

  • Layer Brett (LBRETT): Ethereum-layer meme token in presale (~$0.005)—losing some momentum but still notable for its high-yield staking model.

  • JPYC (Yen-pegged Stablecoin): Regulated stablecoin gaining ground in Japan amid growing mainstream interest.

  • Chainlink (LINK): Enhancing its record as a key infrastructure player amid ongoing data-on-chain initiatives.


Outlook for the Week Ahead

  • Labor Day Holiday Liquidity: U.S. markets are closed—expect low activity until mid-week.

  • September Macro Signals: Jobs and inflation data could reset sentiment once trading resumes.

  • Tech & Crypto Sentiment: A rebound in chip/AI stocks and crypto ETFs could shape next week’s tone—watch for bounce potential.

  • Options Flows & Positioning: How markets rebuild post-expiry and where institutional flows head will be key to near-term direction.

  • Regulatory Developments: Stablecoin clarity and infrastructure progress remain catalysts for digital assets.

Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE.   Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

Come see what we are trading –  Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

31st Aug 2025

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