Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #436. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
Market Overview
Equities:
United States:
S&P 500: The index declined by 0.97% over the past week, reflecting investor concerns about potential economic slowdowns and upcoming tariff implementations.
Nasdaq Composite: Experienced a sharper decline of 3.47%, primarily due to significant losses in major technology stocks, including Nvidia and Tesla.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Contrarily, the Dow posted a modest gain of 0.95%, driven by its composition of more traditional industries less affected by current market headwinds.
Europe:
- FTSE 100: The index faced pressure amid concerns over new U.S. tariffs on European imports, particularly affecting the automotive and manufacturing sectors.
Asia:
Nikkei 225 (Japan): The index advanced, benefiting from a weaker yen and robust export data.
Shanghai Composite (China): The index faced declines amid concerns over regulatory crackdowns and slower economic growth.
Commodities
Metals:
Gold: Prices remained stable as investors sought safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainties.
Silver: Traded with minor fluctuations, reflecting mixed signals from industrial demand.
Energy:
Crude Oil: Prices experienced a slight uptick, influenced by geopolitical tensions and supply constraints.
Natural Gas: Prices declined due to forecasts of milder weather reducing demand expectations.
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin (BTC): The leading cryptocurrency saw a significant decline of 17.5% in February, marking its largest monthly loss since June 2022. This downturn is attributed to growing investor anxiety over potential global trade wars and recent security breaches within major exchanges.
Ethereum (ETH): Mirroring Bitcoin’s performance, Ethereum also faced substantial losses, reflecting broader market trends and investor sentiment.
Altcoins: Despite the bearish market, certain altcoins like Qubetics ($TICS) and Solaxy ($SOLX) have garnered attention due to their innovative approaches and potential for growth.
Key Developments
U.S. Tariff Announcements:
- President Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, effective March 4, with potential further hikes on Chinese goods. This move has heightened investor concerns about a global trade war, contributing to increased market volatility.
Economic Indicators:
- The upcoming U.S. jobs report for February is highly anticipated, with expectations of 133,000 job additions and a 4% unemployment rate. This data will be crucial in assessing the health of the labor market amid rising economic uncertainties.
European Central Bank (ECB) Rate Decision:
- The ECB is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing the deposit facility rate to 2.5%. This decision comes amid reduced confidence in maintaining restrictive monetary policies and declining inflation rates.
Corporate Earnings:
- Major companies, including Broadcom, Costco, and Target, are scheduled to release earnings reports this week. These releases will provide insights into corporate performance and consumer spending trends.
Federal Reserve Communications:
- Several Federal Reserve officials are slated to speak before the blackout period preceding the mid-March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Their remarks could offer clues about future monetary policy directions.
Emerging Crypto Projects
Qubetics ($TICS):
- Positioned as a game-changer in blockchain interoperability, Qubetics is rapidly gaining traction. Its ongoing presale has raised over $12.6 million, reflecting strong investor interest.
Solaxy ($SOLX):
- An innovative Layer-2 solution for the Solana blockchain, Solaxy aims to enhance transaction speeds and reliability, addressing current scalability challenges.
Meme Index ($MEMEX):
- Offering a structured approach to investing in meme coins, Meme Index provides diversification within the meme cryptocurrency market, catering to investors seeking exposure to this niche segment.
Bitcoin Bull ($BTCBULL):
- Tying rewards to Bitcoin’s price milestones, Bitcoin Bull offers an innovative incentive structure for investors, aligning with Bitcoin’s performance metrics.
Investor Insights
Equities: The imposition of new tariffs and potential market corrections suggest increased volatility. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and consider diversifying portfolios to mitigate risks.
Commodities: Energy prices are influenced by geopolitical tensions and supply constraints, while metals react to shifts in industrial demand and investor sentiment.
Cryptocurrencies: The market remains highly volatile, with regulatory changes and emerging projects contributing to rapid price fluctuations. Due diligence is essential when exploring new investment opportunities in this space.
Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
The Weekly Call can now be auto-traded on Striker.com. Just call Striker Securities and open an account of at least $25,000 and every trade I make here will be made for you automatically there. I am planning to use the same methodology and risk management approach with the auto-traded account at Striker that I have been using here. If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE. Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.