The Weekly Call for August 17th

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #464. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.


U.S. Markets (Friday, August 15 close)

S&P 500 (SPY): Closed near 6,449.80, up ~0.94% for the week.
Nasdaq Composite (QQQ): Rose modestly; notched a weekly gain of approximately +0.43%.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA): Delivered the strongest weekly performance with a gain of about +1.74%.


Global Markets

FTSE 100 (UK): Cautious sentiment amid stubborn inflation and rate-hike chatter dampened gains.
DAX (Germany): Chicago PMI and eurozone indicators underwhelmed, weighing slightly on the index.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Recovered following better-than-forecast Q2 GDP, though still watching global headwinds.
Shanghai Composite (China): Flat, as investors awaited fresh economic stimulus signals from Beijing.


Commodities Snapshot (Friday close)

Gold: Held steady in safe-haven territory amid inflation concerns and central bank caution.
Silver: Largely flat, with mixed signals—demand from both industry and investors balanced out.
Copper: Supported by resilient infrastructure demand, prices remained steady.
Crude Oil (WTI): Around mid-$60s per barrel, held back by easing supply tensions and tariff uncertainty.
Natural Gas: Elevated summer usage supported near current levels; forecasts showed continued demand.


Cryptocurrency Market (Friday close)

Bitcoin (BTC): Closed near $117,360, slightly lower than midweek highs, pressured by profit-taking and risk-off flows.
Ethereum (ETH): Also pulled back modestly amid broader crypto market softness.
Solana (SOL): Down a few percent, reflecting general sector volatility.
Other tokens (XRP, etc.): Most slipped—XRP down around 3–6%, as crypto markets reacted to hotter-than-expected producer-price data.


Key Market Drivers

  • Fed & Inflation Signals: Hot producer-price data (PPI) reduced expectations for a sharp Fed pivot; markets recalibrated, dialing back rate-cut bets.

  • Crypto Volatility: Bitcoin’s late-week slide followed ETF outflows, leveraged liquidations, and murky policy clarity.

  • IPO Buzz & Regulation: A wave of crypto-related IPOs (e.g., Bullish) and new regulatory frameworks boosted optimism—despite sharper short-term crypto pullbacks.

  • Macro Dynamics: Robust U.S. Q2 GDP and solid corporate earnings cushioned equity markets, even as inflation remains sticky.


Emerging Crypto Projects to Watch

  • Lagrange (LA): Gaining traction as a ZK-rollup Layer-2 network; early activity spiked after a Binance listing.

  • Solaxy (SOLX): A Solana-based scaling protocol with growing interest during its presale phase.

  • MIND of Pepe (MIND): Meme-token with AI integration, now gaining hype post-presale.

  • Bondex (BDXN): A Web3 professional-networking token aiming to mirror LinkedIn functionality.


Outlook for Next Week

  • Fed Minutes & CPI: Monday’s Fed minutes, followed by Tuesday’s CPI report, could reshape expectations on rate easing and influence both equity and crypto flows.

  • Housing Market Data: Key metrics like housing starts and pending home sales will offer clues on consumer health and inflation momentum.

  • Ethereum Roadmap Updates: Any confirmation on network upgrades (Cancun-Deneb) may trigger renewed ETH and L2 interest.

  • Geopolitical Watch: Persistent tariff and supply-chain risks remain a focal point for oil, base metals, and broader investor sentiment.

 

 

Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE.   Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

 

Come see what we are trading –  Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

17th Aug 2025

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