Crypto Market Weekly Outlook for October 26th

Welcome to this week’s Crypto Market Weekly Outlook, post #405, where we provide a comprehensive analysis of the latest developments and price movements across major cryptocurrencies. Stay ahead of the market trends with our expert insights on what to watch for in the coming days. This week, we continue to leverage our proprietary trading algorithm, designed to enhance your trading strategies and increase the odds of capturing significant gains in the volatile crypto mark

Cryptocurrency Market (Friday, October 24 close)

Bitcoin (BTC): ≈ $109,850, up ~1.3% on the week after briefly dipping below $108K and rebounding into the weekend.
Ethereum (ETH): ≈ $3,970, up ~1.5%, outperforming BTC as network activity and ETH/BTC pair strength improved.
Solana (SOL): ≈ $202, up ~3% on stronger DeFi participation and renewed developer interest.
XRP (XRP): ≈ $2.91, steady for the week, with speculation tied to ETF rulings.
BNB (BNB): ≈ $982, slightly higher amid consistent DEX volumes and stable liquidity.
Cardano (ADA): ≈ $0.76, flat, maintaining moderate volume in mid-cap trading.
Dogecoin (DOGE): ≈ $0.22, little changed; retail participation remains quiet.

Key Market Drivers

Crypto Rebound: After a volatile mid-month pullback, crypto markets regained footing as investor risk appetite returned alongside global equity gains.
Bitcoin ETF Inflows Resume: Following two weeks of net outflows, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw renewed inflows midweek, sparking short-covering and stabilizing sentiment.
Ethereum Strength: ETH outperformed BTC on rising Layer-2 activity and progress toward the Dencun upgrade, boosting staking and network metrics.
Macro Calm: U.S. equity markets rallied on strong earnings and cooling inflation signals, easing pressure on digital assets.
Stablecoin Growth: Global stablecoin supply expanded 2% week-over-week, marking its first notable uptick since September and suggesting improving liquidity.
Gold & Risk Correlation: Despite record gold prices, crypto decoupled slightly, attracting diversified inflows as traders re-entered risk assets.

Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem Developments

Coinbase Buys Echo ($375 M): Coinbase finalized its acquisition of Echo, integrating tokenized-asset management and real-world asset (RWA) functionality for institutions.
Kraken Enters Prediction Markets: Kraken acquired a U.S.-regulated derivatives and events exchange, allowing it to launch prediction and futures products in domestic markets.
Uniswap Integrates Solana: Cross-chain functionality now supports Solana swaps, bridging liquidity between EVM and non-EVM ecosystems.
AI-Driven Blockchain Expansion: Projects like Arclight (ACT) and Fetch continue growing validator networks for decentralized compute and AI model verification.
Euro Stablecoin Consortium: Testing completed for MiCAR-compliant euro-backed stablecoin among European banks, with pilot rollout expected in 2026.
Layer-2 Scaling Momentum: Activity across Arbitrum, Base, and Optimism reached new record throughput, confirming sustained demand for Ethereum scaling.

Market Sentiment & Outlook

Sentiment: Fear-and-greed indexes turned neutral after several weeks in fear territory; volatility remains contained but poised for sharp breakouts.
Technical Levels:
• BTC: Support ~ $107,000–108,000; resistance ~ $115,000–118,000.
• ETH: Support ~ $3,800; resistance ~ $4,200–4,400.
• SOL: Support ~ $190; resistance ~ $215–220.
Short-Term View: Consolidation likely as traders await fresh catalysts—either from ETF approval cycles or macro data.
Medium-Term Drivers: Regulatory progress, RWA tokenization, and on-chain revenue growth across Layer-2 networks continue to anchor the next structural uptrend.
Volatility Watch: Expect range-bound trade early in the week with potential for renewed momentum if BTC reclaims $112 K+ and ETH breaks $4.2 K.

GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) volatility model

The following charts present 6-month historical price trends for the top eight cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, SOL, LINK, XRP, BNB, ADA, and DOGE), using the GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) volatility model, which is commonly used in financial markets to capture the clustering nature of volatility—periods of high volatility tend to follow high volatility, and calm periods tend to persist. Using recent return data, the model projects expected volatility levels and translates them into forecast price bands with midpoint targets and potential highs under strong momentum scenarios. This is trial for the next 4 weeks and will be enhanced.

Bitcoin (BTC)

- 90-day outlook: Expect ±2–4% daily swings. Likely consolidation between $92,000 and $122,000, with midpoint near $107,000.
- Potential upside: ~$128,000 if ETF inflows and risk-on macro conditions return.

Ethereum (ETH)

- 90-day outlook: ±2.5–4.5% daily volatility. Range likely $3,600 to $5,000, midpoint near $4,300.
- Potential upside: ~$5,200 with strong staking flows and progress on upgrades.

Solana (SOL)

- 90-day outlook: ±3–5% daily swings; possible consolidation $160 to $240, midpoint near $200.
- Potential upside: ~$250+ if institutional use in DeFi and NFT throughput gains.

Chainlink (LINK)

- 90-day outlook: ±3–6% daily fluctuations. Consolidation $18 to $27, midpoint ~$22.50.
- Potential upside: ~$30+ if CCIP adoption, oracle network expansion, and cross-chain demand accelerate.

XRP (XRP)

- 90-day outlook: ±3–5% daily swings; likely consolidation between $2.50 and $3.20, midpoint near $2.85.
- Potential upside: ~$3.40–$3.60 if positive regulatory signals or ETF speculation return.

BNB (BNB)

- 90-day outlook: ±2–4% daily swings; consolidation between $900 and $1,070, midpoint near $985.
- Potential upside: ~$1,150+ if on-chain activity and DEX volume strengthen.

Cardano (ADA)

- 90-day outlook: ±3–5% daily swings; likely range $0.65 to $0.95, midpoint ~$0.80.
- Potential upside: ~$1.10 if network upgrades and ecosystem growth pick up.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

90-day outlook: ±4–6% daily swings; consolidation between $0.17 and $0.28, midpoint near $0.225.
Potential upside: ~$0.30 if speculative rotation and social momentum return.

Advanced Blockchain Investments

The previous post have included Advanced Blockchain Investments. The blockchain space has rapidly evolved beyond simple cryptocurrency trading, offering investors various innovative ways to maximize returns.