Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #479. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
U.S. Markets (Friday, November 14 close)
S&P 500 (SPY): Closed near 6,350, down roughly 3–4% for the week as tech and growth sectors sold off sharply.
Nasdaq Composite (QQQ): Around 22,000, down 4–5%, its worst weekly loss since early spring.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA): Approximately 46,800, down about 2%, cushioned by industrials and financials.
Global Markets
FTSE 100 (UK): Lower on the week, pressured by bank stress and slowing energy demand.
DAX (Germany): Declined sharply as manufacturing, orders, and export data disappointed.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Fell as a firmer yen and soft global tech demand hit exporters.
Shanghai Composite (China): Slightly lower; stimulus expectations remain, but weak consumer-onshore data kept sentiment fragile.
Commodities Snapshot (Friday close)
Gold: Around $4,100/oz, supported by safe-haven flows amid broad risk aversion.
Silver: Near $52/oz, steady with gold but capped by weaker industrial outlook.
Copper: Approximately $4.80/lb, drifting lower as global demand remains sluggish.
Crude Oil (WTI): Around $55–$58/barrel, pressured by rising inventories and softer demand signals.
Natural Gas: Near $3.05/MMBtu, steady heading into late-fall heating season.
Cryptocurrency Market (Friday close)
Bitcoin (BTC): ≈ $94,000, sharply lower after breaking below key support around $100K.
Ethereum (ETH): ≈ $3,200, down significantly on the week, mirroring BTC’s sell-off.
Solana (SOL): ≈ $170–185, softer as altcoins absorbed larger losses.
XRP (XRP): ≈ $2.40–2.60, modestly lower as ETF hopes fade from headlines.
BNB (BNB): ≈ $1,000–1,050, relatively resilient compared to broader altcoin weakness.
Cardano (ADA): ≈ $0.60–0.65, down with the broader market.
Dogecoin (DOGE): ≈ $0.18–0.20, muted with low retail speculation.
Key Market Drivers
Risk-Off Avalanche: Markets moved decisively to safety as concerns over global demand, slowing earnings, and unclear Fed messaging triggered broad sell-offs.
Fed Cut Expectations Scale Back: The market meaningfully reduced odds of a December rate cut, which pressured equities and crypto simultaneously.
Weak Global Data: Manufacturing and consumption indicators across multiple regions came in soft, amplifying risk aversion.
Tech Earnings Misses: Several key mega-cap and AI-linked names reported softer guidance, weighing heavily on Nasdaq components.
Crypto Breakdown: BTC and ETH breached major support levels, triggering cascading liquidations and pushing sentiment into “extreme fear.”
Currency & Safe-Haven Flows: The dollar strengthened while gold surged, highlighting elevated stress in risk assets.
Emerging Crypto Projects & News
Digitap ($TAP) Presale Momentum: Despite the sell-off, early-stage interest continued in TAP, a payments and Visa-connected project already surpassing $1.3M raised.
Metaverse Revival Attempt: Yuga Labs proceeded with the Otherside launch this week, aiming to reignite NFT/metaverse demand in an otherwise weak market.
Institutional Data: Whale wallets net-sold BTC heavily throughout the week as ETF outflows accelerated, confirming de-risking by large holders.
Layer-2 Networks Hold Up: Throughput on Arbitrum, Base, and Optimism held steady despite price declines, indicating underlying usage strength.
Regulatory Crosswinds: A series of global regulatory developments targeting stablecoins, exchange licensing, and token compliance intensified uncertainty.
Outlook for Next Week
Macro Calendar: Markets will look to inflation reports, retail sales, and global PMI data for clues on recession odds and rate-path adjustments.
Equities: Expect continued volatility; bulls will look for stabilization in tech earnings and any macro upside surprises.
Crypto Technical Zones:
BTC: Support $90K–$95K; resistance $105K–$110K.
ETH: Support $3,000–$3,300; resistance $3,800–$4,000.
SOL: Support $170; resistance $200–$210.
Key Indicators: ETF flow direction, funding rates, stablecoin supply movement, and open interest resets will determine whether crypto finds a bottom.
Cross-Asset Sentiment: Correlations between crypto and equities have tightened during the sell-off; any shift in broader risk appetite will ripple through digital assets.
Volatility Watch: With implied vol still relatively low even after declines, markets remain vulnerable to a large outsized move upon the next macro catalyst.
Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.
16th Nov 2025
