Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #481. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
U.S. Markets (Week Ended Nov 28)
S&P 500 (SPX): Closed at 6,849, up 0.5% Friday and about 3.7% on the week, extending its monthly winning streak.
Nasdaq Composite: Finished near 23,366, up 0.7% Friday and roughly 4.9% on the week, even as AI/high-beta names stayed choppy.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Ended around 47,716, up 0.6% Friday and about 3.2% for the week.
Big picture: After a mid-month wobble on AI valuation fears, U.S. equities ripped higher into month-end on rising odds of a December Fed rate cut.
Global Markets
FTSE 100 (UK): Closed around 9,721, up modestly and essentially flat for the month, as UK large caps balanced firmer financials against consumer and energy drag.
DAX (Germany): Ended near 23,837, logging a weekly gain of ~3% but a slight monthly loss, reflecting ongoing industrial and export concerns.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Around 50,254, grinding higher with support from a weaker yen and exporter strength.
Shanghai Composite (China): Near 3,889, up slightly Friday but down for the month, with investors still waiting for more forceful stimulus.
Commodities Snapshot (Friday Close)
Gold: About $4,220/oz, hovering near record highs as markets price in a high probability of a Fed cut in December and continue to hedge fiscal/geopolitical risk.
Silver: Around $56/oz, at or near all-time highs after a sharp spike tied to a Comex outage and intense safe-haven/inflation hedging flows.
Copper: Roughly $5.20/lb (over $11,200/ton) after breaking to new all-time highs on tighter supply and bullish electrification demand.
Crude Oil (WTI): Near $58.5/bbl, struggling as weak demand signals and ample supply offset broader risk-on sentiment.
Natural Gas (Henry Hub): Around $4.8/MMBtu, up sharply in November on colder-weather expectations and tightening balances.
Cryptocurrency Market (Friday, Nov 28 Close)
Bitcoin (BTC): About $90,600, attempting to base after a ~20% drawdown in November; rebounded from last week’s lows but remains in a short-term downtrend.
Ethereum (ETH): Near $2,990–$3,000, leaning weaker than BTC as large-cap alts stay under pressure despite holding the $3K line.
Solana (SOL): Around $136–$137, consolidating after a big multi-month run; still a high-beta proxy for risk appetite.
Chainlink (LINK): About $13.1, cooling from prior oracle/CCIP momentum highs.
XRP: Around $2.20, range-bound with only brief intraday spikes.
BNB: Near $876, comparatively resilient versus other majors.
Cardano (ADA): Roughly $0.42, grinding lower with broad altcoin weakness.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Around $0.15, softer as meme-coin rotation and social hype fade.
Key Market Drivers This Week
1. Five-Day Equity Rally into Month-End
U.S. stocks notched five straight up days, with the S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq all logging strong weekly gains despite earlier AI-valuation jitters.
Traders leaned into risk on rising odds of a Fed rate cut and better-than-feared macro data.
2. CME / Data Center Outage & Market Plumbing Risk
A cooling failure at a CyrusOne data center temporarily froze trading in CME futures (equities, FX, commodities) before being restored.
Highlighted systemic risk around centralized infrastructure, a talking point for both traditional markets and crypto.
3. Metals Breakout: Gold, Silver, Copper
Gold pushed deeper into record territory on Fed-cut expectations and fiscal worries.
Silver spiked to new records following the Comex outage and speculative flows.
Copper ripped to all-time highs, with banks upgrading price targets on tighter mine supply and EV/grid demand.
4. Crypto: Rebound Inside a Down Month
BTC clawed back toward the low $90Ks, but November still shaped up as one of the worst months of the year for crypto.
Data show multi-billion-dollar net outflows from U.S. spot BTC ETFs across the month, even as the last couple of days saw small net inflows and short-covering.
Volatility compressed into the holiday, with realized ranges narrowing and options flows shifting toward nearer-dated hedges.
Emerging Crypto Projects / Themes to Watch
Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER)
A high-profile presale approaching the $29M raise mark, positioning itself as a higher-beta BTC-adjacent narrative token.
Buzz is driven by presale momentum and aggressive marketing; still firmly in speculative territory.
SKY & Other DeFi Governance Tokens
Smaller-cap DeFi governance names (including SKY) saw increased mentions as traders rotated into high-beta plays despite the broader drawdown.
Activity is heavily flow-driven, with liquidity thin relative to majors.
ZK / Interop & RWA Bridges
Zero-knowledge rollups, cross-chain messaging layers, and tokenized treasuries/RWA rails continue to capture developer attention.
Even with prices down, on-chain experimentation around payment rails and “on-chain cash management” is accelerating.
Investor Insights
Equities vs. Metals vs. Crypto
Equities: Strong week; markets are leaning on the Fed to deliver a cut, with valuations rich, especially in AI/tech.
Metals: Gold/silver/copper strength is a loud macro signal—investors are hedging policy, inflation, and supply risk.
Crypto: BTC is trying to stabilize after a heavy month; altcoins remain fragile and more sensitive to flows and headlines.
BTC Levels to Watch
Support: $88K–$90K zone; repeated defenses here are constructive.
Resistance: $94K–$96K; a clean break and hold opens up a retest of the mid-$100Ks over the next leg.
ETH & Alts
ETH needs to hold $2.9K and reclaim $3.1K–$3.2K with better flows to reassert leadership.
High-beta majors (SOL, LINK, DOGE, ADA, etc.) likely over-react to any sharp move in BTC, both up and down.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
Macro & Fed Path
Incoming U.S. data (jobs, inflation, early holiday-spend read-throughs) will either reinforce or challenge the December cut narrative.
Any wobble in cut odds could hit long-duration risk (tech, crypto) faster than cyclicals.
Month-End / New-Month Flows
Rebalancing and allocation shifts around month-end/December 1 can introduce non-fundamental flows in both equities and crypto.
ETF creations/redemptions will be key for gauging whether the November crypto outflow trend is easing.
Volatility Regime
If BTC stays in roughly $88K–$96K, expect range trading and mean-reversion to dominate.
A decisive break below that band risks a deeper flush; a clean breakout above it would likely drag majors and selected alts higher.
Project-Specific Catalysts
Watch for:
L2 and ZK-rollup upgrade announcements,
new token listings or unlock schedules, and
any regulatory headlines around spot ETFs or stablecoins.
Those will drive dispersion between names even if the top-down tape stays quiet.
Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.
29th Nov 2025
