The Weekly Call for February 16th

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #434. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.

Equity Markets

United States:

  • S&P 500: Closed at 6,025.99, down 1% for the week, as investors weighed inflation concerns and potential Federal Reserve policy adjustments.

  • Nasdaq Composite: Ended at 19,523.40, declining 1.4%, with technology stocks facing headwinds amid rising Treasury yields.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Decreased by 1%, closing at 44,303.40, influenced by broad market sell-offs and tariff-related uncertainties.

Europe:

  • FTSE 100: Experienced modest gains, supported by strength in the mining sector and positive corporate earnings reports.

Asia:

  • Nikkei 225 (Japan): Advanced, benefiting from a weaker yen and robust export data.

  • Shanghai Composite (China): Faced declines amid concerns over regulatory crackdowns and slower economic growth.


Commodities

Metals:

  • Gold (GC): Prices settled at $2,883.60 per ounce, experiencing a slight pullback after reaching record highs earlier in the week.

  • Silver (SLV): Traded at $29.31 per ounce, reflecting stability amid mixed industrial demand signals.

Energy:

  • Crude Oil (CL): Prices declined to $75.82 per barrel, influenced by prospects of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, easing supply concerns.

  • Natural Gas (NG): Increased to $19.65 per MMBtu, driven by continued chilly weather boosting demand.


Cryptocurrency

  • Bitcoin (BTC): Trading at $97,064, down 0.48% for the week, as the market consolidates after recent gains.

  • Ethereum (ETH): Priced at $2,694.92, up 0.25%, with steady interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.

  • Solana (SOL): Trading at $190.49, declining 1.96%, amid profit-taking and broader market adjustments.

  • Dogecoin (DOGE): At $0.26693, down 2.23%, reflecting reduced trading volumes and market interest.


Key Developments

  1. Inflation Concerns and Federal Reserve Policy:

    A hotter-than-expected inflation report for January 2025 has raised concerns about the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates further. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicated persistent price pressures, leading to a spike in the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.64%. This development suggests potential challenges for the stock market’s bull run and has diminished expectations for future rate cuts.

  2. SEC’s Stance on Cryptocurrency Regulation:

    The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has paused its civil lawsuit against Binance for 60 days. This decision comes as a newly formed SEC task force, led by Commissioner Hester Peirce, reviews cryptocurrency regulations. The outcome may influence the regulatory landscape for digital assets and impact ongoing cases.

  3. Argentina’s Political Turmoil Over Cryptocurrency Promotion:

    Argentine President Javier Milei faces potential impeachment after promoting the cryptocurrency $LIBRA, which subsequently plummeted in value. Opposition lawmakers allege misconduct, highlighting the political risks associated with official endorsements of volatile digital assets.

  4. Major Pension Fund Adjusts Tech Holdings:

    The Teacher Retirement System of Texas has significantly increased its stakes in tech companies such as Palantir Technologies, Nvidia, and Tesla, while reducing its position in AT&T. This strategic shift reflects confidence in the growth potential of technology sectors, particularly in artificial intelligence and electric vehicles.


Emerging Crypto Projects

  • Unicoin: A cryptocurrency firm that recently hosted a grand event for its token launch, despite facing a fraud investigation by the SEC. The company claims its tokens are backed by substantial real-world assets, though skeptics question its promises and marketing tactics.

  • Analog ($ANLOG): A blockchain interoperability solution that launched its native token on February 10, 2025. The project aims to enhance connectivity across various blockchain networks.

  • Nakamoto Games: A platform offering a variety of play-to-earn blockchain games, which has recently gained attention in the crypto gaming community.


Investor Insights

  • Equities: Inflationary pressures and potential shifts in Federal Reserve policies may introduce volatility in equity markets. Investors should monitor economic indicators and adjust portfolios accordingly.

  • Commodities: Gold remains a safe-haven asset amid economic uncertainties, while energy prices are susceptible to geopolitical developments, particularly in Eastern Europe.

  • Cryptocurrencies: Regulatory developments and political events continue to influence crypto markets. Due diligence is essential, especially with emerging projects facing legal and market challenges.


Outlook for the Week Ahead

  • Federal Reserve Minutes: Investors will closely analyze the upcoming release of the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes for insights into future monetary policy directions.

  • Corporate Earnings: Major retailers are set to report earnings, providing a gauge of consumer sentiment and spending trends.

  • Geopolitical Events: Ongoing discussions regarding U.S. trade policies and international relations may impact global markets and investor confidence.

Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

The Weekly Call can now be auto-traded on Striker.com. Just call Striker Securities and open an account of at least $25,000 and every trade I make here will be made for you automatically there. I am planning to use the same methodology and risk management approach with the auto-traded account at Striker that I have been using here. If you have a Daily Update or Trader Triple Play membership, there is no subscription fee for the auto-traded account at Striker. For more information, call Striker.com and speak with William at (800) 669-8838. For more information, you can also watch this video from our subscriber Q&A HERE.   Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

 

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

16th Feb 2025

Swap your javascript code above