The Weekly Call for March 1st

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #496. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.

U.S. Markets (Friday, February 27 close)

S&P 500 (SPY): Closed near 6,880, down on the week as volatility picked up and technology leadership paused.
Nasdaq Composite (QQQ): Around 22,880, lower as AI and semiconductor names saw profit-taking and momentum cooled.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA): Approximately 49,500, slightly higher as industrials and financials provided relative stability.


Global Markets

FTSE 100 (UK): Mixed; energy held up but broader global risk sentiment limited upside.
DAX (Germany): Lower as manufacturing and export data disappointed, weighing on cyclical sectors.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Mixed, with exporters supported by yen weakness while tech components softened.
Shanghai Composite (China): Slightly lower as stimulus headlines were offset by persistent property-sector concerns.


Commodities Snapshot (Friday close)

Gold: Around $2,200/oz, firm as safe-haven demand increased during the equity pullback.
Silver: Near $28.20/oz, holding strength despite broader risk-off sentiment.
Copper: Approximately $4.50/lb, steady as industrial demand signals remained constructive.
Crude Oil (WTI): Around $74/barrel, supported by geopolitical tensions but capped by demand uncertainty.
Natural Gas: Near $3.35/MMBtu, supported by extended winter demand and storage draws.


Cryptocurrency Market (Friday close)

Bitcoin (BTC):$65,900, retracing from earlier highs as risk appetite cooled and ETF momentum slowed.
Ethereum (ETH):$1,930, weaker alongside BTC as liquidity tightened and leverage was reduced.
Solana (SOL):$85.90, underperforming as high-beta altcoins faced broader selling pressure.
XRP (XRP):$1.36, lower amid sector-wide de-risking.
BNB (BNB):$614, held up relatively better but softened into the weekend.
Cardano (ADA):$0.278, pressured as speculative capital rotated out of mid-caps.
Dogecoin (DOGE):$0.093, modestly lower as retail participation slowed.


Key Market Drivers

  • Tech Valuation Repricing: AI and semiconductor stocks saw profit-taking, dragging the Nasdaq lower and pressuring high-beta risk assets.

  • Risk-Off Rotation: Investors moved toward gold and defensive sectors as volatility returned after weeks of steady gains.

  • Fed Policy Ambiguity: Markets reassessed the pace and timing of rate cuts, reducing near-term liquidity optimism.

  • Crypto Leverage Reset: BTC and ETH failed to sustain breakout attempts, triggering liquidations and reinforcing consolidation.

  • ETF Flow Deceleration: Bitcoin ETF inflows moderated relative to earlier weeks, reducing a key structural tailwind.


Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem News

  • AI + Crypto Infrastructure: Despite price weakness, decentralized compute and AI-linked blockchain projects continued to see developer engagement.

  • Real-World Asset Tokenization: Tokenized treasury and credit platforms remained a central institutional theme even during market pullbacks.

  • Layer-2 Activity Stable: Ethereum Layer-2 networks maintained healthy throughput, suggesting underlying usage remains resilient.

  • Cross-Chain Development: Interoperability upgrades between major ecosystems continued, improving liquidity routing and bridging efficiency.

  • Volatility & Derivatives Growth: Increased options and structured-product activity signaled growing institutional sophistication in crypto markets.


Outlook for the Week Ahead

  • Macro Calendar: Markets will watch employment data, inflation updates, and Fed commentary for clues on liquidity conditions.

  • Equities: With tech under pressure, expect continued sector rotation rather than broad-based upside.

  • Crypto Levels to Watch:

    • BTC: Support $64,500–$65,000, resistance $68,000–$70,000.

    • ETH: Support $1,850–$1,900, resistance $2,050–$2,150.

    • SOL: Support $80–$85, resistance $95–$105.

  • Sentiment: Markets remain cautious; breakouts require renewed liquidity or macro improvement.

  • Strategy Note: Favor liquidity and quality over speculation; wait for confirmation before adding high-beta exposure.

Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

 

Live Cattle

 

Gold (GC)

Come see what we are trading –  Try our 30 day FREE trial Click Here

 

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

 

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

 

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.

Written by:

Stan Nabozny

Stan is a 20 year retail trading veteran, CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) and Co-Founder of The Art of Chart. His specialties include using futures and options to trade Energies, Precious Metals, Equities, Currencies, Bonds, Softs, Grains and other commodities. Stan believes that Risk Management and Trader Psychology are more important that technical analysis and spends his time teaching and coaching other traders on these topics. Stan uses various trading systems and technical analysis approaches that integrate time and price in his work. See his latest articles here and www.huffingtonpost.com.

01st Mar 2026

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