Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #501. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
Global Markets
FTSE 100 (UK): Closed Thursday modestly higher as hopes around renewed efforts to reopen key shipping routes helped sentiment.
DAX (Germany): European equities steadied late in the week, though the tone remained cautious because of energy risk and war-related disruption.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Closed Friday near 53,123.49, up about 1.3% on the day.
Shanghai Composite (China): Closed Friday near 3,880.10, down about 1.0% on the day.
Outside the U.S., markets remained highly headline-driven. Europe traded around the energy and logistics story, while Asia reflected the split between risk resilience in Japan and ongoing caution in China.
Commodities Snapshot
Gold: Around $4,780/oz after a powerful safe-haven surge during the week.
Silver: Remained elevated alongside gold as inflation and war-risk hedging stayed in focus.
Copper: Held firm, though trading was volatile as macro fear and inventory stories competed for control.
Crude Oil (WTI): Settled near $111.54/barrel on Thursday after a sharp war-driven spike.
Natural Gas: Henry Hub prompt month was around $2.82/MMBtu on April 2.
Commodities were the clearest signal of the week’s macro stress. Oil stayed above $110, gold surged, and the market remained focused on the Strait of Hormuz and the inflation consequences of a prolonged conflict.
Cryptocurrency Market (Friday, April 3 levels)
Bitcoin (BTC): Around $66,650, trading sideways in thin holiday liquidity after slipping from midweek highs.
Ethereum (ETH): Near $2,050, remaining under pressure as traders stayed defensive.
Solana (SOL): Around $78–$80, with confidence softer after ecosystem stress.
XRP (XRP): Near $1.31, little changed but still below recent recovery attempts.
BNB (BNB): Around $583–$587, softer week over week but holding up better than several majors.
Cardano (ADA): Near $0.24, continuing to trade defensively.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Around $0.090, still in a weak retail-driven range.
Crypto remained in correction mode. Bitcoin held together better than the rest of the market, but the broader tone was still cautious as traders weighed war risk, jobs data, Fed implications, and thin holiday liquidity.
Key Market Drivers
- Middle East war and Hormuz risk stayed front and center: The market’s biggest macro driver remained the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the threat to energy flows.
- Oil shock changed the inflation conversation: WTI above $110 pushed inflation fears back into the spotlight just as investors were looking for more confidence on rate cuts.
- March jobs data complicated the Fed outlook: A stronger labor report reduced confidence in near-term easing.
- Equities bounced, but the tape stayed fragile: The weekly gain in stocks looked more like stabilization than full confidence.
- Crypto stayed selective and defensive: Bitcoin held up better than most, while altcoins remained vulnerable.
This was a week where geopolitics, inflation, and liquidity all mattered at once. The war premium in oil, the strong jobs print, and still-cautious crypto positioning all combined to keep markets nervous even while equities posted a weekly bounce.
Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem News
- Coinbase got conditional approval for a U.S. trust charter: That is a meaningful institutional-development story because it strengthens the custody and large-client infrastructure angle.
- Franklin Templeton deepened its crypto push: Its agreement to acquire 250 Digital showed traditional asset managers are still building through the drawdown.
- Solana faced fresh confidence pressure: Drift Protocol’s major exploit weighed on Solana-linked DeFi sentiment and on SOL itself.
- Infrastructure still matters more than speculation: AI-linked blockchain infrastructure, custody, tokenized assets, and institutional rails remain the strongest structural themes.
Even in a weak tape, the most important crypto stories were institutional and infrastructure-related rather than speculative. That keeps the longer-term development backdrop more constructive than the price action alone suggests.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
- Macro calendar: CPI, Fed minutes, and early earnings are the big events because the market is trying to separate war-driven inflation from underlying growth.
- Equities: The question is whether last week’s rebound was the start of stabilization or just a relief bounce inside a fragile tape.
- Crypto levels to watch:
- BTC: Support $65,000–$66,000, resistance $68,500–$70,000.
- ETH: Support $2,000, resistance $2,150–$2,200.
- SOL: Support $78–$80, resistance $88–$90.
- Strategy note: This remains a market driven by energy, geopolitics, and inflation. Stay selective, keep size under control, and let confirmation lead.
The week ahead is really about whether inflation data and Fed language confirm a higher-for-longer backdrop, or whether the market can absorb the oil shock without another broader de-risking move.
Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.
05th Apr 2026
