[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Today is the last trading day of 2023, and is the only significantly bearish leaning day this week. Historically the stats today indicate 38.1% stats for SPX closing green, and only 28.6% green closes on NDX. That doesn't of course mean that the day will be particularly interesting, but intraday at least the last couple...
read moreTag: NDX
Boxing Day
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I hope everyone had a great holiday. I've had an enjoyable time at home with my three (adult) children. We're not religious, but it is always a good time to see and enjoy family. One slightly strange thing to the Brit eye about Christmas is that over here and in much of Europe the day...
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Hitting Rising Support on SPX
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I didn't really have time to fall much in love with the possible bull flag channel on SPX yesterday as it broke hard and SPX went directly to the main support level I was expecting to see tested later after a bounce. That level is rising support from the 2022 low in October which I...
read moreTag: NDX
A Festival of Flags
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has seen a decent retracement from the highs, the reversion to the mean target at the 45dma has been hit, and a lot of decent looking bull flags have been forming on US indices. SPX may now be close to a retracement low, and a daily RSI 5 buy signal fixed a couple of...
read moreTag: NDX
So What Next?
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Pretty much everything I have written about in my last few posts on SPX delivered. The bull flag wedge from the high broke up. The IHS that then formed broke up and made target, and the bull flag made the target with a retest of the June high. So what now? Well I was saying...
read moreTag: NDX
Binary Decision Point
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was looking earlier this week on the very high quality falling wedge that had formed on SPX from the last high and considering the odds that it was a bull flag setting up a retest of the high. Since then the wedge has broken up, retraced about 50% of the decline, and an IHS...
read moreTag: NDX
Hard Knocks
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Over the last few days SPX has been retracing and is approaching the first big support level. That is the daily middle band, which closed yesterday at 4312, with the low yesterday at 4328. That is a target that may be reached today. SPX daily BBs chart:[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="147307" img_size="large" alignment="center" onclick="img_link_large"][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]On the bigger picture, a...
read moreTag: NDX
Looking For A Short Term High
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The high last Friday was only three handles below the close on the daily 3sd upper band, which is a rare event, so I did what I like to do with rare events, I looked back and crunched some numbers looking at previous examples. These are the stats I posted on Monday morning. There are...
read moreTag: NDX
Veni Vidi Vici
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my premarket video on Tuesday I was looking at the setup and the historical stats and, was saying that a consolidation was likely to start the week and, then we would see what the bulls could do with the very bullish historical stats on Thursday and Friday. Well, they came, they saw, and they...
read moreTag: NDX
A Tale Of Two Indices
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]A decent quality rising wedge has formed from the early March low, and that broke down last week. That could be a bullish underthrow of course or the wedge could be expanding. If wedge resistance is hit again today then at minimum I will assume the wedge has expanded, and redraw the wedge support trendline...
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