Tag: SPX

Choices Choices

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]After the violent rally on Thursday and Friday next week the real question here is whether a significant low has been made. There are some signs that might be the case. On the SPX daily chart the low saw a spike down through the 3sd lower band, generally a good indicator for at least a...

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Tag: SPX

Back In the USSR

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Putin revealed his thinking in a speech last week where he stated (incorrectly) that Ukraine had always been part of Russia historically, and has now followed through on that with what looks increasingly like a full occupation of Ukraine. If he meant what he said in that speech then Ukraine's time as an independent country...

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Tag: SPX

Bear Necessities

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Unfortunately the week has become dominated by the news relating to the possible imminent invasion of Ukraine by Russia. At the time of writing there has been no invasion, and the consensus view this morning seems to be that there is no credible sign that Russia is backing down yet either. We'll see, but news...

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Tag: SPX

A Valentine’s Day News Massacre

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Equity indices failed as I was expecting on Friday, but not necessarily for the reason that I was expecting, as it may have been primarily a news reaction to the alert from the US government that Russia is preparing to invade Ukraine within the next few days. These came as unexpected news to many, possibly...

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Tag: SPX

Testing The Weekly Middle Band Again

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying in my last post before the open on Tuesday that if SPX kept testing the daily middle band as resistance every day then another attempt to break back above it was likely and we saw a modest close back over the daily middle band at the close on Tuesday. That followed through...

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Tag: SPX

Knock Knock

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]We did our monthly free public Chart Chat at theartofchart.net at 4pm EST on Sunday looking at the options on equity indices as well as looking at the usual wide range of other markets. If you'd like to watch the recording that you can do that here or on our February Free Webinars page. At...

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Tag: SPX

Break And Rejection

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying yesterday that if there is a rejection on the day after a break back up over a middle band, it is generally on the next candle, and we saw that yesterday. I also said that after a rejection there is generally a follow-through to the downside, and we've been seeing that on...

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Tag: SPX

The January Barometer

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I've been promising a post talking about the January Barometer, which is a statistic from the Stock Trader's Almanac, something that I have been buying every year for many years as it has a lot of very useful information for traders and investors. This statistic looks at all Januarys that have closed down since 1950...

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Tag: SPX

Finely Balanced

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my last post I was looking at strong daily lower band rides on SPX that have the daily lower band ride as intraday resistance, rather than as support as would be the case on a standard daily lower band ride, and I used a previous instance from September as an example. Interestingly the path...

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Tag: SPX

Teaching Moment – Strong Daily Lower Band Rides

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The type of very strong daily lower band ride that I was describing on Friday turned out to be exactly what we saw, so I'm taking a moment to look at that this morning as these happen on a regular basis, two to four times a year or so, and tend to behave in a...

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