Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #486. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
U.S. Markets (Friday, December 19 Close)
S&P 500 (SPY): Closed near $676.4, down on the week as markets continued to digest the Fed cut and shifted into year-end consolidation mode.
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Ended around $607.9, lower on the week as AI and mega-cap tech de-risking persisted.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA): Finished near $488.2, modestly higher on the week, continuing to outperform growth-heavy indices.
Big picture: The market is transitioning from post-cut optimism to late-December positioning, with leadership narrowing and defensives holding up best.
Global Markets
FTSE 100 (UK): Lower on the week, pressured by slowing consumer data and cautious risk sentiment.
DAX (Germany): Flat to slightly lower as industrial weakness offsets easing financial conditions.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Higher on the week, supported by yen weakness despite ongoing BOJ tightening speculation.
Shanghai Composite (China): Modestly higher, reflecting incremental policy support without a broad risk-on response.
Commodities Snapshot (Friday Close)
Gold: Around $4,310/oz, extending gains as investors hedge late-cycle and policy risk.
Silver: Near $64/oz, holding elevated levels after a strong multi-week run.
Copper: Around $5.22/lb, consolidating near highs as profit-taking meets structural demand.
Crude Oil (WTI): Near $56.9/bbl, drifting lower on demand concerns and ample supply.
Natural Gas: Around $4.25/MMBtu, volatile but supported by colder weather forecasts.
Theme: Metals remain firm on macro hedging and infrastructure demand; energy continues to lag.
Cryptocurrency Market (Friday Close)
Bitcoin (BTC): Around $89,400, trading sideways and holding near the lower end of its December range.
Ethereum (ETH): Near $3,060, continuing to lag BTC as altcoin flows stay cautious.
Solana (SOL): Around $130, consolidating after heightened volatility earlier in the month.
XRP: Near $2.02, relatively stable versus peers.
BNB: Around $885, one of the more resilient large caps.
Cardano (ADA): Around $0.41, weak and liquidity-sensitive.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Near $0.14, fading as meme-driven flows cool.
Crypto tone: Defensive, range-bound, and increasingly tied to equity and liquidity signals.
Key Market Drivers This Week
1. Post-Fed Repricing
With the December cut behind us, markets are reassessing how shallow the easing cycle may be. That uncertainty has pressured long-duration assets and capped upside.
2. Year-End Liquidity & Positioning
Thin liquidity is amplifying moves. Funds are locking in gains and trimming exposure, leading to more mechanical price action.
3. Tech / AI De-Risking
Continued unwinds in crowded AI trades weighed on the Nasdaq, reinforcing rotation into value, industrials, and defensives.
4. Crypto as a Macro Proxy
BTC and ETH are trading more like high-beta expressions of global liquidity than standalone crypto narratives. ETF flows remain mixed with no strong directional signal.
Emerging Crypto Projects / Themes to Watch
Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER): Continued interest in the Bitcoin Layer-2 / execution-layer narrative as investors look to extend BTC utility.
Remittix (RTX): Ongoing momentum in PayFi and cross-border payments as capital rotates toward real-world utility.
AI + Blockchain Infrastructure: Still active as a longer-term (2026) theme despite near-term risk aversion.
Investor Insights
Equities
Leadership is narrowing.
The Dow remains constructive; QQQ needs stabilization to prevent broader downside.
Crypto
BTC: Key range $87K–$94K. Breaks outside this band likely define the next multi-week move.
ETH: Must defend $3,000 to avoid deeper underperformance.
Alts: Likely to stay headline- and liquidity-driven into year-end.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
Holiday Liquidity: Expect thinner volumes and exaggerated moves into Christmas week.
Data Sensitivity: Any surprise in yields, inflation expectations, or labor data can move markets quickly in low-liquidity conditions.
Base Case: Continued consolidation across equities and crypto, favoring tactical trades over trend chasing.
Looking Ahead: Early positioning for 2026 themes—AI infrastructure, electrification, payments, and policy easing depth—will start to matter more than near-term data noise.
Stay tuned as global market conditions continue to evolve, trade smart and trade safe!
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.
21st Dec 2025
