So far the scenario I was laying out on Friday has been playing out perfectly with the two red days at the start of this week, and SPX backtesting obvious trend support at the 50 hour MA twice. SPX didn't quite retest Monday's low yesterday, so the double bottom setup here isn't perfect but SPX...
read moreTag: NDX
The Wicked Witch Of the West
Looking at the average rises and falls on SPX from the start since 1997, the most bearish straight sequence of days of the year are the six days from 19th September through 25th September. Within those six days, usually including the September quadruple witching, the lowest percentage of positive closes is 23rd September at 26.67%...
read moreTag: NDX
Looking For A Retracement Low
Since I was writing on Friday the bull flag megaphone has broken up, a rising wedge formed on ES into yesterday's high, and then that wedge broke down with the obvious target at a retest of the retracement low. So far however this has delivered higher lows on SPX and ES, and ES is again...
read moreTag: NDX
Forming The Bull Flag
Apologies for the lack of updates this week. I've been reorganising my office which has been time-consuming though very satisfying. The video below is the full premarket video that I do every morning at for subscribers and there are quite a few charts at very interesting stages, most definitely including SPX/ES here. When I was...
read moreTag: NDX
One Month Closes And Another One Opens
SPX has made a possible short term high a couple of days ago, but needs to show us more on Tuesday than a retracement to test obvious support at the 50 hour MA, currently in the 2890 area. If that can be broken, and the open gap below it filled, then there is a decent...
read moreTag: NDX
Looking For A Short Term High
I'm posting my full premarket video from this morning, as this is a very interesting area on most of the instruments covered, with significant reversals in progress on many of them. Full Premarket Video from theartofchart.net - Update on ES, NQ, CL, NG, GC, SI, HG, ZB, KC, SB, CC, ZW, ZC, ZS, DX, EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD,...
read moreTag: NDX
Be Here Now
That was an unsatisfyingly fast low last week with none of the usual bottoming signals, but it was a higher low against the early August low, and the break under the daily middle band on Wednesday was firmly rejected on Thursday and confirmed on Friday, with a decent quality bull flag channel on ES breaking...
read moreTag: NDX
The Wheels On The Bus Go Round and Round
An unsettled open on ES last night with more rumblings from Turkey and lower lows on ES and NQ. I was asked before the open whether I thought there was a serious risk of the wheels coming off on SPX with a 5% or so retracement directly from here, and I replied that I thought...
read moreTag: NDX
Bull Flag Compression
ES has been compressing for a couple of days now, forming a likely bull flag for the next leg higher. That may have made a low overnight or may have a bit lower to go before the next leg up begins. A break and conversion to support of the current short term high at 2863.75...
read moreTag: NDX
Looking Higher
I am back from holiday and normal updates are resuming today. The retracement last week was larger than expected and established a larger rising channel from the 2691.99 low that is part of the larger overall rising channel from 2594.62. Shorter term channel support is now in the 2803 area, and I'm looking in the...
read more