Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #526. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.
U.S. Markets (Friday, September 18 Close)
S&P 500: Closed at 7,650.50, gaining approximately 0.2% Friday but declining about 0.1% for the week.
Nasdaq Composite: Closed at 26,522.55, rising approximately 0.4% Friday and gaining about 0.7% for the week.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Closed at 51,682.64, declining approximately 0.2% Friday and falling about 1.7% for the week.
U.S. markets finished a volatile policy week with technology outperforming while industrial and cyclical shares lagged.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, the first increase in more than three years, and signaled that additional tightening may still be necessary.
Treasury yields remained a major market constraint, with the 10-year yield returning to approximately 5.0%.
Technology shares held up comparatively well as investors continued favoring semiconductor equipment, advanced memory, storage, networking, cloud infrastructure, and companies benefiting directly from artificial-intelligence spending.
Global Markets
FTSE 100 (United Kingdom): Closed at 10,659.13, declining sharply Friday but still finishing the week modestly higher.
DAX (Germany): Closed near 25,300, weakening Friday as autos, telecoms, and cyclical shares came under pressure.
Nikkei 225 (Japan): Finished near 65,200, advancing after the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 1.25%, the highest level in 31 years.
Shanghai Composite (China): Closed at 3,911.87, gaining approximately 0.9% Friday.
Global markets were dominated by central banks.
The Federal Reserve resumed tightening, while the Bank of Japan also raised rates. China, in contrast, kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged as policymakers balanced weak domestic credit demand against limited room for additional easing.
Higher global bond yields remain an important valuation risk, particularly for high-growth and highly leveraged companies.
Commodities Snapshot
Gold: Approximately $4,390/oz, finishing the week higher as easing oil prices reduced some inflation fears and investors maintained fiscal and geopolitical hedges.
Silver: Approximately $66.70/oz, rising strongly Friday and outperforming gold.
Copper: Approximately $6.50–$6.60/lb, remaining historically elevated as constrained supply and structural infrastructure demand continued supporting prices.
WTI Crude Oil: Settled at $100.30/barrel, declining approximately 1.6% Friday but remaining above the psychologically important $100 level.
Brent Crude Oil: Settled at $104.87/barrel, declining modestly Friday as immediate Saudi supply concerns eased.
Natural Gas: Approximately $2.90/MMBtu, remaining relatively stable compared with the extraordinary volatility in crude oil.
Oil continued to dominate the inflation discussion.
Saudi pipeline disruptions, tanker attacks, restricted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and continued Middle East tensions kept crude above $100.
Late-week diplomatic activity and expectations that part of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline could return to service reduced some of the immediate supply premium.
Gold and silver strengthened as investors balanced inflation concerns against the longer-term fiscal and geopolitical environment.
Cryptocurrency Market (Sunday, September 20)
Bitcoin (BTC): Approximately $80,400, holding above $80,000 after recovering sharply from midweek weakness.
Ethereum (ETH): Approximately $2,584, remaining above $2,500 and continuing to show improved relative strength.
Solana (SOL): Approximately $108.70, maintaining its position above $100.
XRP: Approximately $1.38, recovering after a volatile regulatory-driven week.
BNB: Approximately $748.50, continuing to show strong relative performance.
Cardano (ADA): Approximately $0.222, holding above recent support.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Approximately $0.0856, pulling back modestly during weekend trading.
Bitcoin demonstrated considerable resilience this week.
The market absorbed a Federal Reserve rate increase, a failed Senate vote on comprehensive crypto legislation, elevated Treasury yields, and continued Middle East uncertainty.
Bitcoin nevertheless recovered above $80,000, while Ethereum and Solana maintained substantially stronger structures than they had earlier this summer.
Key Market Drivers
- The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points. The benchmark range moved to 3.75%–4.00%.
- Additional tightening remains possible. Federal Reserve officials continue emphasizing that inflation remains too high across multiple categories.
- Treasury yields returned to roughly 5%. High long-term borrowing costs continue pressuring housing, industrial companies, and highly valued growth assets.
- The Bank of Japan raised rates to 1.25%. Japan now has its highest policy rate in 31 years.
- Oil remained above $100. Energy prices remain one of the most important near-term inflation risks.
- Saudi supply concerns eased late in the week. Expectations for partial restoration of pipeline capacity helped crude prices retreat Friday.
- Technology continued outperforming. AI infrastructure, semiconductor equipment, storage, and networking companies remained among the strongest market areas.
- Bitcoin reclaimed $80,000. Crypto recovered sharply despite tighter monetary policy.
- The SEC opened a path for tokenized U.S. stocks. The new framework creates a five-year regulatory exemption for qualifying blockchain-based equity trading platforms.
- Crypto legislation suffered a setback. The broader market-structure bill failed to advance in the Senate, increasing the importance of regulatory action by the SEC and CFTC.
The market continues to balance strong structural growth themes against increasingly restrictive financial conditions.
Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem News
- Tokenized U.S. stocks received a major regulatory opening. Qualifying platforms can now pursue blockchain-based trading of real U.S. equities under a five-year SEC exemption.
- Shareholder protections remain central. Eligible tokenized stocks must retain voting rights, dividends, and conventional ownership rights.
- Synthetic stock tokens are excluded. The framework distinguishes actual tokenized equity ownership from derivatives that merely track share prices.
- Coinbase and Robinhood could benefit from the new structure. Both companies have expressed interest in tokenized securities and extended-hours markets.
- Bitcoin ETF flows stabilized after extreme midweek volatility. Heavy policy-driven outflows were largely offset by strong late-week buying.
- Zcash became an unexpected institutional winner. Newly launched ZEC investment products recorded some of the strongest weekly inflows in the crypto ETF market.
- Solana ETF demand remained positive. SOL products extended a long streak of institutional inflows.
- Ethereum remained strategically important despite weaker ETF flows. ETH continues to serve as a primary infrastructure network for stablecoins, tokenization, DeFi, and institutional settlement.
- The CFTC continued developing crypto-specific market rules. Regulatory agencies are increasingly moving forward using existing authority rather than waiting for Congress.
- Stablecoin infrastructure continued expanding. Payments, custody, treasury management, reserve management, and institutional settlement remain major growth areas.
- Tokenized real-world assets continued expanding. Treasury securities, equities, private credit, money-market funds, and commodities increasingly use blockchain-based settlement.
- Interoperability remains a core institutional requirement. Cross-chain messaging, pricing, proof-of-reserves, compliance, and settlement infrastructure remain strategically important.
The strongest long-term digital-asset themes remain Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, regulated stablecoins, tokenized equities, real-world assets, institutional custody, decentralized derivatives, interoperability, and blockchain-based settlement.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
- Federal Reserve: Markets will assess whether September’s hike is likely to be followed by another increase in October or later this year.
- Treasury yields: A sustained move above 5% on the 10-year remains one of the greatest risks to equity valuations.
- Inflation: Investors will continue watching whether oil and transportation costs begin feeding more significantly into core inflation.
- Oil and the Middle East: Strait of Hormuz traffic, Saudi infrastructure repairs, and diplomatic efforts remain capable of producing large moves in crude.
- U.S.-China discussions: Trade, tariffs, artificial intelligence, agriculture, and critical-mineral supply remain important economic issues.
- Artificial intelligence: AI infrastructure spending remains the strongest structural growth theme across technology and industrial markets.
- Copper: Tight concentrate markets and long-term electricity demand remain supportive.
- Tokenized securities: The SEC’s new exemption could trigger additional announcements from exchanges, brokers, fintech companies, and blockchain infrastructure providers.
- Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $80,000 while Treasury yields remain near 5% will be an important signal of institutional demand.
Key Levels to Watch
S&P 500: Support 7,575–7,600 | Resistance 7,700–7,750
Nasdaq Composite: Support 26,250–26,300 | Resistance 26,650–26,750
Bitcoin: Support $78,000–$79,000 | Major Support $75,000–$76,000 | Resistance $81,500–$82,000
Ethereum: Support $2,500–$2,525 | Resistance $2,625–$2,650
Solana: Support $105–$107 | Resistance $112–$115
Gold: Support $4,300–$4,350 | Resistance $4,450–$4,500
Silver: Support $64–$65 | Resistance $68–$70
Copper: Support $6.45–$6.50 | Resistance $6.65–$6.75
WTI Crude Oil: Support $97–$100 | Resistance $104–$106
As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.
Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.
The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial
Sugar
Coffee
Live Cattle
Gold (GC)
Come see what we are trading – Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here
COMPLETED TRADES
Track Record of Completed Trades
The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.
Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.
Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.
Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.
Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.
Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.
Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.
*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.
Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th
We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th
The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.
Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd
We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.
Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th
We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.
Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th
We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.
20th Sep 2026
