The Weekly Call for September 27th

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Weekly Call, your trusted source for high-quality commodity setups and trading strategies. Since October 2016, our approach has delivered an impressive 777% return, and we continue to share the insights and methodologies that drive these results with this post #527. This week, we’ll explore the latest market trends, actionable trade setups, and global economic factors influencing commodities like sugar, coffee, live cattle, and gold.

U.S. Markets (Friday, September 25 Close)

S&P 500: Closed at 7,743.41, gaining approximately 0.5% Friday and 1.2% for the week.

Nasdaq Composite: Closed at 27,068.72, rising approximately 0.5% Friday and gaining about 2.1% for the week.

Dow Jones Industrial Average: Closed at 51,828.62, gaining approximately 0.9% Friday and finishing roughly 0.3% higher for the week.

U.S. equities finished the week higher as artificial intelligence and technology shares regained leadership.

Microsoft rallied after expanding Copilot with additional code-generation and agentic-AI capabilities, while major new infrastructure commitments reinforced the continuing scale of AI capital spending.

The Nasdaq returned to record territory during the week as semiconductor stocks strengthened and oil prices eased from recent extremes.

The primary macroeconomic risk remains interest rates. Long-term Treasury yields remain historically elevated after the Federal Reserve resumed tightening earlier this month.

That tension continues to define the market: exceptionally strong AI investment and corporate earnings versus increasingly restrictive borrowing costs.

Global Markets

FTSE 100 (United Kingdom): Closed at 10,695.25, gaining approximately 0.1% Friday.

DAX (Germany): Closed at 25,408.64, rising approximately 0.6% Friday.

Nikkei 225 (Japan): Closed at 66,364.20, gaining approximately 1.3% Friday.

Shanghai Composite (China): Closed at 3,888.37, declining approximately 1.2% Friday.

International markets were mixed.

Japan remained strong as technology and semiconductor companies benefited from renewed global enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence.

European equities stabilized despite elevated sovereign yields and persistent energy concerns.

China remained weaker as investors continued balancing policy support against soft consumer demand, property-sector stress, and concerns surrounding external growth.

Global bond markets remain an important source of risk. Long-duration sovereign yields in the United States, Europe, and Japan remain substantially higher than investors became accustomed to during the previous decade.

Commodities Snapshot

Gold: Approximately $4,322/oz, declining about 2.3% for the week as elevated real interest rates continued to pressure precious metals.

Silver: Approximately $64.75–$64.80/oz, finishing roughly 2.5%–3.5% lower for the week.

Copper: Approximately $6.78/lb, gaining for the week and remaining close to record territory.

WTI Crude Oil: Settled at $92.41/barrel, declining approximately 8% for the week.

Brent Crude Oil: Settled at $104.32/barrel, falling approximately 6% for the week.

Natural Gas: Settled near $3.20/MMBtu, gaining more than 10% for the week.

Energy markets experienced another major reversal.

Oil declined as expectations increased that diplomatic progress could improve shipping conditions through the Strait of Hormuz and restore additional Gulf supply.

However, Brent remains above $100, and the Middle East situation remains highly uncertain.

Natural gas moved sharply higher as global LNG conditions tightened and European storage remained below normal seasonal levels.

Copper continues to stand out structurally. Physical supply remains tight while electricity transmission, data centers, electrification, manufacturing, and AI infrastructure continue creating substantial demand.

Cryptocurrency Market (Sunday, September 27)

Bitcoin (BTC): Approximately $84,000–$84,500, consolidating after trading above $87,000 during the week.

Ethereum (ETH): Approximately $2,700, maintaining improved momentum and strong institutional participation.

Solana (SOL): Approximately $120–$124, remaining one of the strongest-performing major cryptocurrencies.

XRP: Approximately $1.52–$1.55, extending its recovery as regulated investment demand remains positive.

BNB: Approximately $770–$780, maintaining one of the strongest large-cap technical structures.

Cardano (ADA): Approximately $0.25–$0.26, participating strongly in the broader altcoin advance.

Dogecoin (DOGE): Approximately $0.097–$0.100, strengthening as speculative market participation improved.

Hyperliquid (HYPE): Approximately $92–$94, remaining one of the leading decentralized-derivatives assets.

Crypto had another strong institutional week.

Bitcoin ETF flows accelerated sharply, Ethereum fund demand returned, and Solana experienced record daily institutional inflows.

That combination matters because it shows the rally is broadening beyond Bitcoin.

Ethereum, Solana, XRP, BNB, Cardano, Dogecoin, and selected DeFi assets all strengthened during the week.

Key Market Drivers

• Bitcoin ETF inflows surged to approximately $2.4 billion. This was the strongest weekly total in nearly a year.
• Bitcoin ETF flows turned positive for 2026. The strong September recovery erased the large year-to-date deficit accumulated earlier in the summer.
• Ethereum ETF demand rebounded. ETH products attracted approximately $690 million during the week.
• Solana recorded a record daily ETF inflow. Friday brought approximately $87 million of net new institutional capital.
• AI enthusiasm returned aggressively. Microsoft, semiconductors, software, and data-center infrastructure companies regained market leadership.
• Meta’s Muse AI platform increased investor enthusiasm. Strong early adoption renewed confidence that consumer AI could become another major revenue category.
• Anthropic expanded infrastructure spending. Major cloud commitments reinforced expectations for continued demand across networking, compute, data centers, and electricity.
• Treasury yields remain historically high. Long-duration rates continue limiting valuation expansion across growth assets.
• Oil declined sharply. Potential Middle East diplomatic progress reduced near-term inflation concerns.
• Copper remained near record territory. Structural supply constraints combined with accelerating infrastructure demand continue supporting industrial metals.
• Global equity fund flows improved. Investors returned to equities as AI optimism offset concerns surrounding tighter monetary policy.

The market’s dominant tension remains unchanged: exceptionally strong investment spending and earnings versus historically restrictive interest rates.

Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem News

• Binance invested $100 million in Circle. The investment significantly deepens the relationship between the largest global crypto exchange and the issuer of USDC.
• USDC integration on Binance is expanding. Additional trading pairs, savings products, settlement functionality, and financial services are expected.
• Stablecoins continue moving into mainstream financial infrastructure. Payments, treasury management, cross-border settlement, and institutional liquidity remain major growth areas.
• The European Central Bank launched Pontes. The new service connects conventional central-bank payment infrastructure with blockchain-based financial markets.
• Pontes allows tokenized securities to settle in central-bank euros. This reduces reliance on private stablecoins for institutional blockchain settlement.
• Traditional central banks are increasingly embracing blockchain infrastructure. Europe, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom continue experimenting with regulated tokenized financial markets.
• Tokenized securities remain one of the strongest institutional blockchain themes. Treasury securities, money-market funds, equities, private credit, and commodities increasingly use blockchain rails.
• Solana ETF assets reached a record level. Increasing institutional participation continues strengthening SOL’s investment case.
• XRP ETF demand remained positive. Regulated investment products continue broadening institutional access to XRP.
• Zcash also attracted significant institutional capital. Its investment products exceeded $1 billion in assets during the week.
• Hyperliquid continued expanding decentralized derivatives. Institutional and retail trading activity remains strong across perpetual-futures markets.
• Chainlink remains strategically important to tokenization. Pricing data, proof-of-reserves, interoperability, and cross-chain settlement continue becoming essential financial infrastructure.
• Stablecoin reserve policy remains under debate. European regulators are reconsidering how much stablecoin issuers should be required to hold as traditional bank deposits.

The strongest long-term digital-asset themes remain Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, regulated stablecoins, tokenized securities, tokenized deposits, real-world assets, decentralized derivatives, institutional custody, interoperability, and blockchain-based settlement.

Outlook for the Week Ahead

• September employment report: Jobs data will be one of the most important releases of the week. Markets currently expect approximately 100,000 new jobs.
• PCE inflation: The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure will provide another read on whether additional tightening may be necessary.
• Federal Reserve: Investors will continue evaluating whether the September hike will be followed by another increase before year-end.
• Treasury yields: Long-term yields remain one of the largest risks to technology and other highly valued assets.
• Quarter-end positioning: The end of September and third quarter could create unusual volatility as institutional investors rebalance portfolios.
• Artificial intelligence: AI infrastructure spending, software monetization, semiconductor demand, and data-center investment remain the dominant growth themes.
• Oil and Iran: Diplomatic developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz could rapidly move energy prices in either direction.
• U.S.-China relations: Trade, semiconductors, artificial intelligence, tariffs, agriculture, and critical minerals remain important catalysts.
• Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin ETF inflows, Ethereum participation, Solana demand, and Bitcoin’s ability to hold its new trading range remain the most important institutional indicators.
• Stablecoins and tokenization: Central banks and private financial institutions continue accelerating blockchain-based settlement infrastructure.

Key Levels to Watch

S&P 500: Support 7,650–7,700 | Resistance 7,800–7,850

Nasdaq Composite: Support 26,800–26,900 | Resistance 27,200–27,300

Bitcoin: Support $82,000–$83,000 | Major Support $79,000–$80,000 | Resistance $86,000–$87,500

Ethereum: Support $2,625–$2,650 | Resistance $2,775–$2,800

Solana: Support $115–$118 | Resistance $125–$130

Gold: Support $4,250–$4,300 | Resistance $4,400

Silver: Support $62–$63 | Resistance $66–$68

Copper: Support $6.60–$6.65 | Resistance $6.80–$6.90

WTI Crude Oil: Support $90–$92 | Resistance $97–$100

As always, stay informed and adjust your strategies based on the evolving market conditions. All trades are posted on our Private Twitter Feed for subscribers and are included in the track record posted below under Completed Trades. I am currently trading 15 lots given the account balance and will adjust as necessary based on market developments.

Trading futures contracts and commodity options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see our Disclaimer for more information.

The trades below are discussed on the Daily Update: – Click Here for a FREE Trial

Sugar

Coffee

Live Cattle

Gold (GC)

Come see what we are trading –  Try our 30 day FREE trial – Click Here

COMPLETED TRADES

Track Record of Completed Trades

The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach. This track record is based on entries and exits as posted in this blog. I am currently using 15 lots for the Striker trades which is based on this account being over $375,000. Each lot for auto trading at Striker requires $25,000 per lot. See the videos below for more information.

Track Record January 2022 thru December 2022 Click Here.

Track Record January 2021 thru December 2021 Click Here.

Track Record January 2020 thru December 2020 Click Here.

Track Record January 2019 thru December 2019 Click Here.

Track Record January 2018 thru December 2018 Click Here.

Track Record October 2016 – December 2017 Click Here.

*** Trading futures contracts and futures options involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be appropriate for all investors. By reading this web site, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Trading strategies referenced on this web site and associated documents and emails are only suggestions, no representation is being made that they will achieve profits or losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.. See our disclaimer here.

Completed trade in Cattle as of November 28th

We expect subscribers to have captured 60% of the swing in live cattle which is over $14,500 in profit using a margin of only $5,115. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of December 12th

The total swing was $37.00 and we expect subscribers to have captured 60% of a wing or $22 in coffee for a profit of over $25,500 using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures. See the video below for the review of the trade.

Completed Trade in Natural Gas as of January 2nd

We were stopped out of out last 1/3 position as weather-related news created a gap down on January 2nd and a possible flat with support at 3.196. This concludes our trade with natural gas; we exit with 550 ticks on 2/3s of a position with $8,500 in profit.

Completed Trade in Coffee as of January 19th

We exited the coffee trade on January 19th with $17 or over $15,000 in profit using a margin of $8,850. A great example of using leverage in futures.

Completed Trade in Gold as of February 8th

We exited the gold trade on February 8th with over $14,000 in profit. We entered on January 3rd and held the trade into the high window. We will re-enter gold in a few weeks after a backtest.