IWM – The Art Of Chart

Tag: IWM

High Retests Likely

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I mentioned in my post on Tuesday morning that the historical stats for the rest of this week leaned bullish, and that the stats for next week after the holiday all lean bearish, and after the low on Tuesday afternoon we've been seeing that deliver so far. I capped the chart below after the close...

Taking Stock

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]One thing I always like to see on SPX the day after I call a possible high area is a big gap down and I wish that happened every time. Alas it does not, but it was nice to see that happen this morning. In terms of the trendlines I was looking at in my...

Minority Report

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The SPX daily upper band ride finished a few days ago. SPX has gone higher in the last week, but not quite reached the upper band again, and there is no particular reason to think that the daily upper band ride might resume. SPX hasn't quite reached the obvious trendline resistance from the October 2023...

Out With The Old Year, In With The New

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Today is the last trading day of 2023, and is the only significantly bearish leaning day this week. Historically the stats today indicate 38.1% stats for SPX closing green, and only 28.6% green closes on NDX. That doesn't of course mean that the day will be particularly interesting, but intraday at least the last couple...

Hitting Rising Support on SPX

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I didn't really have time to fall much in love with the possible bull flag channel on SPX yesterday as it broke hard and SPX went directly to the main support level I was expecting to see tested later after a bounce. That level is rising support from the 2022 low in October which I...

Love And Marriage

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I always try and keep an open mind, as too strong a directional view on any trading instrument can result in tunnel vision, where the analyst sees mainly or only the evidence that supports that view. That is an obstacle to good analysis, and for an analyst who trades, can get very expensive. In trading...

A Modest Proposal

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]On Thursday night last week I posted a public model trade on my twitter taking a short on ES at 4561.75 looking for the 4350 area. That trade was in thirds, I posted all entries and exits in real time on twitter, and I took the last two thirds at 4399 yesterday for an average...

A Festival of Flags

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has seen a decent retracement from the highs, the reversion to the mean target at the 45dma has been hit, and a lot of decent looking bull flags have been forming on US indices. SPX may now be close to a retracement low, and a daily RSI 5 buy signal fixed a couple of...

Hard Knocks

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Over the last few days SPX has been retracing and is approaching the first big support level. That is the daily middle band, which closed yesterday at 4312, with the low yesterday at 4328. That is a target that may be reached today. SPX daily BBs chart:[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="147307" img_size="large" alignment="center" onclick="img_link_large"][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]On the bigger picture, a...

Looking For A Short Term High

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The high last Friday was only three handles below the close on the daily 3sd upper band, which is a rare event, so I did what I like to do with rare events, I looked back and crunched some numbers looking at previous examples. These are the stats I posted on Monday morning. There are...