SPX is at a potentially significant inflection point here, with a setup for a possible sharp retracement. SPX has broken down from a short term rising wedge and formed a possible double top. A possible hourly RSI 14 sell signal is brewing and the obvious first downside target on SPX in the event of a...
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Filling The Island Top Gap – Take Three
We did our monthly free public Chart Chat yesterday and, if you missed that, you can see the recording posted on our June Free Webinars page. ES/SPX has been forming a likely large bull flag over most of the last month, and the flag pattern is the unusual and very poorly named broadening formation, right angled and...
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Testing Double Top Support
Interesting setup on SPX here as the holiday week begins. SPX is now testing the larger double top support that I was looking at last week and has broken slightly below double top support at the open. From here there are only two high probability options. The first option is that SPX continues down towards...
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Still Minding The Gap
SPX is still testing the open island top gap from the March rally high, and that has been solid resistance so far. My lean is that SPX will likely break up through that within a day or two, but there is now a clear alternate downside scenario shown on the SPX hourly chart below. Partial...
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Mind The (Island Top) Gap
I was concerned on Thursday that SPX would fail to do the obvious second leg down on the likely overall bull flag forming here, and in all likelihood SPX has now broken up from that bull flag. Confirmation that SPX is going up directly comes on a fill of the open island top gap from...
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The Ghost of 2017
What is likely happening here is that SPX is doing an ABC retracement while forming a bull flag to go higher. Wave A was the first leg down and wave B was likely the rally into the lower high that we have seen so far. What we should see next is the C leg down...
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The Backtest Before The Retest
A couple of announcements today. We did our monthly public Chart Chat on Sunday and if you missed that you can see the recording on our May Free Webinars page. We are doing a free webinar on Thursday after the close looking at our new directional Paragon Options service trading options on futures, and if you'd like...
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Breaking Triangle Resistance
SPX found support on Tuesday as expected, and is now testing the next level of resistance at triangle resistance on SPX. We're expecting a retracement soon and I was hoping to see triangle resistance broken clearly before that retracement, to make the next retracement low an unambiguous buy, and my wish has now been granted....
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Backtesting Broken Resistance
The NQ triangle broke up last week and ES broke up from declining resistance and back over the daily middle band. The short term low is likely made and ES/SPX has been backtesting broken resistance. There is some scope to go lower, with the obvious support levels on ES at the weekly and monthly pivots,...
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Waiting For The NQ Triangle Thrust
I was talking on yesterday morning's video about the triangle breaking down on NQ, saying that the classic triangle sequence would be for the initial break to find a low, then reverse back up into the NQ triangle, and then do the main triangle thrust down. So far NQ is following that sequence and should...
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