options

Break the Cycle

"Let me tell you about the time I doubled my money on an option trade in one day." Wow, that's great! "Yeah, unfortunately I gave it all back the next day and by the end of the week I was down 50% on the trade." Sound familiar? Of course it does. It's happened to practically...

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Indexes

Three Theoretical Bears

Just to start I want to state a clear health warning for the historical stats I'll be weighing at the start of this post. This stats can give a useful lean, but even an 80% bullish lean still assumes 20% odds that the market closes higher that day, and this lean in either direction does...

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Autotrade, Commodities, Energy, Grains, precious metals, Softs

The Weekly Call – Trade Setups for the Week of July 19th

The Weekly Call provides perspective on high-quality setups and trading strategies focused in the Commodity world.. My current performance shows a 416% return since October 2016. The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach....

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Crypto-Currencies

Crypto-Currencies: Bitcoin, Litecoin and Ethereum for July 19th

I plan to cover just three cryptos every week in this post: Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ethereum. These instruments provide trading opportunities with out sized gains. I hope the analysis presented here helps you profit in these instruments. BTCUSD — At this point, BTC is heading lower and I am waiting for a setup. Sideways price...

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Indexes, Long Term View

Moving To The Next Screen

One thing I try to stress in these posts is that the movement of the market can, to a significant extent, be broken down into a series of inflection points and, depending on the outcomes at those inflection points, the market moves to the next inflection point or screen. Last week there was a very...

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Autotrade, Commodities, Energy, precious metals, Softs

The Weekly Call – Trade Setups for the Week of July 12th

The Weekly Call provides perspective on high-quality setups and trading strategies focused in the Commodity world.. My current performance shows a 416% return since October 2016. The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach....

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Crypto-Currencies

Crypto-Currencies: Bitcoin, Litecoin and Ethereum for July 12th

I plan to cover just three cryptos every week in this post: Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ethereum. These instruments provide trading opportunities with out sized gains. I hope the analysis presented here helps you profit in these instruments. BTCUSD —  No long entry last week and we are in a choppy sideways market. This week with...

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COVID-19, Indexes, Long Term View

Quick Update On COVID and SPX

I was reading a very interesting article yesterday on the progress of COVID-19 and it was interesting not so much because of what was said, as for the decent quality numbers that it was quoting on COVID-19 exposures in the US population, and the fatality rate from the now decently sized statistical sample of exposed...

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COVID-19, Indexes

A Killing Joke

I was asked an interesting question yesterday in our monthly free public Chart Chat at theartofchart.net, and I'd like to talk a bit about that before I start looking at markets today. The question was whether, given that market prices reflect everything that is currently known at the moment about that market, then how can...

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Commodities, Energy, Grains, precious metals, Softs

The Weekly Call – Trade Setups for the Week of July 5th

The Weekly Call provides perspective on high-quality setups and trading strategies focused in the Commodity world.. My current performance shows a 415% return since October 2016. The purpose of this blog is to demonstrate how to swing trade futures using our methodology to select high-quality setups and manage the trade with our risk management approach....

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