Category: Long Term View

Thanksgiving Thoughts – Longer Term

I was going to do a longer post today but I've decided to split the post in two, covering the longer term in this post and looking shorter term in a follow up post to be published tomorrow. In my last post I was looking, among other things, at the SPX monthly chart and noting...

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Category: Long Term View

So Here We Are

Firstly my apologies for the wait since my last post. I'm currently getting divorced, which isn't much fun, and the presidential election was so polarising in the US that I was getting the impression that if I mentioned that the weather was getting chillier as the season changed, then some would feel that was a...

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Category: Long Term View

The Masks We Wear

I'm planning to drop some COVID-19 info and updates into some of my posts, hopefully in a way that won't get people thinking that I'm taking a position in the US election, as it is of vital interest for the economy going forward, and there was a time when that mattered for stock markets too,...

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Category: Long Term View

Rally Time

My apologies for this being the first post in a couple of weeks. Hoping to get this back to a couple of posts a week now. I've been avoiding discussing COVID-19 much in recent months as it is very much an election issue in the US and that's not a conversation I really want to...

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Category: Long Term View

First Retracement Target Hit

In my last post a week ago I was remarking at how very stretched SPX was and how near it should be to a mean reversion move, and the mean reversion high was then made within a few minutes of my publishing that post. The minimum target for that mean reversion move, last reached after...

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Category: Long Term View

SPX Approaches Main Resistance

SPX has gone through a lot of trendlines and divergence on this amazing move up, with the last lot breaking on the move over the 3350 area including the negative divergence on the daily RSI. SPX is very stretched here, has punched 100 handles over the monthly upper band, touched an amazing 7.1% above the...

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Category: Long Term View

Stretched

SPX broke up through both of the inflection points that I was looking at in my post earlier this week with the second one at the island top gap into 3337.75 yesterday. SPX here is very stretched, but that doesn't mean that it can't go higher, and there are no longer any significant resistance levels...

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Category: Long Term View

Moving To The Next Screen

One thing I try to stress in these posts is that the movement of the market can, to a significant extent, be broken down into a series of inflection points and, depending on the outcomes at those inflection points, the market moves to the next inflection point or screen. Last week there was a very...

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Category: Long Term View

Quick Update On COVID and SPX

I was reading a very interesting article yesterday on the progress of COVID-19 and it was interesting not so much because of what was said, as for the decent quality numbers that it was quoting on COVID-19 exposures in the US population, and the fatality rate from the now decently sized statistical sample of exposed...

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Category: Long Term View

Testing The NDX Resistance Trendline

Just a reminder before I get started that we are running our July 4th sale at theartofchart.net at the moment and that will be running until the end of next week. For the duration of the sale annual memberships are available for the price of only eight months at the monthly rate rather than the usual ten...

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