[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Yesterday's bearish historical stats delivered hard and broke the bull flag setups that I posted in the morning. SPX is now testing the 4000 area and, if that breaks, the next target will likely be a retest of the retracement low at 3810.32. I still like all the bull flags from the high here, but...
read moreTag: IWM
Consolidation
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has been consolidating for a few days now, and generally speaking a consolidation like this leans bullish. I gave the ideal target for this rally at the weekly middle band and that remains the case in my view. That is now in the 4294 area. SPX weekly chart:[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="130988" img_size="large" alignment="center" onclick="img_link_large"][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In the short...
read moreTag: IWM
Marking Time
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my last post a week ago I was talking about the prospects on SPX for testing the weekly middle band, currently at 4312, on this rally, with particular reference to the very historically bullish two first days of June, which were the last two days. Unfortunately for the bulls, these were both wasted in...
read moreTag: IWM
S&P Retesting Main Resistance
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]My apologies for the long wait between posts. I went out with some friends for the first time in two years on the first weekend in March and caught COVID, which has taken a while to clear. That wasn't too bad and I'm clear now though I'm still feeling low on energy. Hopefully that will...
read moreTag: IWM
Awaiting SPX Low Retest
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my post a week ago I was saying that SPX was back on the Three Day Rule, and on the third day SPX closed clearly back below the 5dma, triggering the rule. That means there is a very high probability that the 4114.65 low will be retested in the near future. SPX daily 5dma...
read moreTag: IWM
Bear Necessities
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Unfortunately the week has become dominated by the news relating to the possible imminent invasion of Ukraine by Russia. At the time of writing there has been no invasion, and the consensus view this morning seems to be that there is no credible sign that Russia is backing down yet either. We'll see, but news...
read moreTag: IWM
A Valentine’s Day News Massacre
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Equity indices failed as I was expecting on Friday, but not necessarily for the reason that I was expecting, as it may have been primarily a news reaction to the alert from the US government that Russia is preparing to invade Ukraine within the next few days. These came as unexpected news to many, possibly...
read moreTag: IWM
Testing The Weekly Middle Band Again
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying in my last post before the open on Tuesday that if SPX kept testing the daily middle band as resistance every day then another attempt to break back above it was likely and we saw a modest close back over the daily middle band at the close on Tuesday. That followed through...
read moreTag: IWM
The January Barometer
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I've been promising a post talking about the January Barometer, which is a statistic from the Stock Trader's Almanac, something that I have been buying every year for many years as it has a lot of very useful information for traders and investors. This statistic looks at all Januarys that have closed down since 1950...
read moreTag: IWM
Possible Topping Action Here
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was looking at the resistance trendlines on SPX and NDX last week and while I was off on Friday SPX tested the resistance trendline there. Of those four signals, only ES hasn't yet made the possible near miss target, though it isn't far away, and may well reach that this morning without declining much...
read more