In my premarket video this morning for daily video service at theartofchart.net I was saying that until demonstrated otherwise I was expecting to see all time retests on ES and NQ before a possible swing high (and potential significant top). That high retest is at 3027.75 on ES and the high today so far has just missed...
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Daily Sell Signals Have Fixed
The daily RSI 5 / NYMO sell signal that was brewing last week has fixed on this first decline from the all time high and has not yet reached target. The rising wedge has broken down into a test of the daily middle band so far, and I am looking for a reversal pattern to...
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Coming Into The High Window
Apologies for the long delay between posts. My wife has been having a serious health issue including some surgery so I have been very distracted. In my last post I was looking for another high retest, and we have seen that, with a push this week into the psychologically important 3000 area after the close...
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Sometimes It’s Just a Flag
SPX made a high early this week, broke down from a decent quality falling wedge and the obvious retracement targets were either the 38.2% or 50% retracements in either the 2840 or 2820 areas before another likely leg up. Sometimes however any initially promising looking topping pattern evolves into a flag as the index trades...
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The Next Inflection Points
In my post 'Important Support Breaks' on 2nd May, as SPX was starting to break down after the new all time high, I was talking about the ideal retracement target at the possible H&S neckline in the 2722 March low area. SPX bottomed out yesterday at 2728 and in practical terms that target area I gave...
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Choices, Choices
One way of looking at markets is as a succession of inflection points or probability forks, at which there are generally a higher and lower probability option which, once taken, take the markets to the next in that series, either eliminating or significantly changing the paths not taken at that inflection point. We've been looking...
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X Marks The (Ideal) Spot
Before the open this morning I was cautiously predicting that ES would rally today to a higher high than yesterday, ideally failing today at a high in the 2865-9 area. As it happened the low of the day was happening at the time on ES, slightly before the RTH open, and ES is now testing...
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The Battles Of The Band
On Thursday before I wrote my post SPX went a few handles below the daily 3sd lower band, and as I'd generally expect we saw a strong rally from there. On Friday, somewhat to my surprise SPX again went a few handles below the daily 3sd lower band, and we then saw an even stronger...
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Taking Stock Here
Last week I was looking at support that needed to be broken at the SPX daily middle band to open further downside and obviously SPX did that and could be at or close to the wave A low here, looking then for a B wave rally, and then a C wave down into the next...
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Important Support Breaks
Since my post a week ago SPX has retested the all time high as expected and made a marginal higher high, the rising wedge from the December low has broken down, the second daily RSI 5 sell signal since the December low has fixed, the first having played out into the March low, SPX has...
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