Chart Chat – Page 8 – The Art Of Chart

Category: Chart Chat

Rolling Over

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has reached a peak of 9.57% over the 45dma on this run. That's likely to be the highest reading as the 45dma is now rising significantly every day, and has risen 40 handles this week. We should now see a retracement that reaches at least close to the 45dma, now at 3971, and may...

Air Getting Very Thin Here

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was talking on Friday about how every so often we see market moves that make no sense, but are technically sound, and go ahead and happen despite making no sense. I was calling these grey swans and as it happens there was a very good example of this that day. On my daily 45dma...

Grey Swans

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I wanted to take an opportunity to take stock of where this rally is in relation to the possible all time high retests that I was talking about in my post on 14th June just before the 2022 low was made. I have done three main posts looking at this and a possible news background...

Still In The Inflection Point

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]If you missed our free public Chart Chat at theartofchart.net on Sunday then you can see the recording here or on our monthly free webinars page here. In that Chart Chat we were saying that a retest of the rally high was likely early this week, and we saw that yesterday. SPX has a daily...

In The Inflection Point

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my last post on Tuesday I was talking about ideally seeing a higher high on this rally to set up divergence and we have since seen that on SPX, NDX and IWM. That has set possible daily RSI 5 and hourly RSI 14 sell signals brewing on SPX and brought SPX closer to the...

Testing Main Resistance

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]When I started to write about the prospects for a decent rally on the 17th and 22nd June I was somewhat apologetic about even suggesting that a rally might be possible, as the background looked so grim and people were so relentlessly bearish. I was looking for strong rallies on the US equity indices and...

Retesting The Upper Band

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]This is likely my only post this week, as I was wiped out by food poisoning on Sunday night, and while I'm feeling much recovered, my total food consumption so far this week is one hard boiled egg, a tortilla wrap, some houmous to go with the wrap and half a cookie, which is slim...

Testing 4000

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Last weekend I was looking at the higher probability bear flag formation options on SPX and was looking at the resistance trendline on the chart below as the highest quality bear flag resistance trendline. That's in the 4050 area now, having eliminating the triangle option in the move up this week, and SPX successfully negotiated...

A Short But Winding Road

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my last post I was talking about the possibility of a triangle forming on SPX. That triangle arguably then finished wave D at the low that day and then broke down the next. Had that been a bear flag triangle then the target would then have been a retest of the 2022 low, but...

In Between Days

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX is retracing and is likely to open today below the monthly pivot at 3867 and the weekly pivot at 3853. That opens a possible backtest of the daily middle band, currently in the 3812 area, and a close below and conversion of that to resistance would open a possible 2022 low retest. Am I...