SPX found support on Tuesday as expected, and is now testing the next level of resistance at triangle resistance on SPX. We're expecting a retracement soon and I was hoping to see triangle resistance broken clearly before that retracement, to make the next retracement low an unambiguous buy, and my wish has now been granted....
read moreTag: TF
Backtesting Broken Resistance
The NQ triangle broke up last week and ES broke up from declining resistance and back over the daily middle band. The short term low is likely made and ES/SPX has been backtesting broken resistance. There is some scope to go lower, with the obvious support levels on ES at the weekly and monthly pivots,...
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Waiting For The NQ Triangle Thrust
I was talking on yesterday morning's video about the triangle breaking down on NQ, saying that the classic triangle sequence would be for the initial break to find a low, then reverse back up into the NQ triangle, and then do the main triangle thrust down. So far NQ is following that sequence and should...
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Triangles Within Triangles
Apologies for the slow rate of updates this week. Stan and I are distracted while running our first Trader's Boot Camp, lasting about four weeks and lasting until the end of next week. We are teaching basic TA and trading methods for both swing and day trades. This is mainly aimed at existing subscribers, on...
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A Pivotal Moment
It is the first day of May today and ES, NQ, & TF started the day testing the new monthly pivots at 2639, 6596 and 1540 respectively. This is an important inflection point and the historical stats for the first day of May lean bullish. On a conviction break of these monthly pivots, the next...
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TGIF
I'm doing a morning post today as I'm hoping to take most of the afternoon off after a big webinar at lunchtime. Starting the weekend early. :-) ES/SPX broke back over the daily middle band yesterday and needs to confirm the break above with another close above today. That's is currently in the 2655 area...
read moreTag: TF
Breaking Back Over The Daily Middle Band
SPX broke back under the daily middle band on SPX on Tuesday, and confirmed the break below at the close yesterday. If SPX breaks back above the daily middle band today, as seems likely at the time of writing, then that will need a confirming close back above tomorrow. I posted the key declining resistance...
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Bull Flags Breaking Up
There is a very strong rally setup coming into today, so I've decided to do an AM post this time, with the video below being the section on indices from my premarket video this morning. The rally setup is the breaks up from bull flags on SPX, NDX, and RUT yesterday afternoon and this morning,...
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Another Friday, Another Inflection Point
Well, SPX has finally retraced over the last couple of days, and the bull/bear line that I'm talking about on the video is rising support from the April low. That was tested as expected not long after I recorded the video and that's holding so far. On a break below, this rally has likely ended...
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The Three Bears
I was saying last week that for a fill of the open gap from 2711.93, I'd be disregarding the Three Day Rule target (a retest of 2553.80). The Three Day Rule target technically hasn't failed yet, but the first downside scenario is likely failing, and we are now left with the remaining two scenarios. The...
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