I was talking on Monday about the decent looking setup for a lower high on SPX, and so it proved to be. What next? Well the rising wedge from the early May low has broken down and almost entirely retraced. There is some possible support here, but the trend down day that ES/SPX has delivered...
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Higher Probability Paths
For me, although there are always of course bigger picture scenarios developing as well, the best way to view the market in the near term is to see it as a series of inflection points which generally have a more likely looking option for the next move, but can always break either way. My next...
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Full Of Sound And Fury, Signifying Nothing
It's been an exciting week, with wild moves, bold pronouncements about markets, terrible economic news, expectations about interventions by governments, the number of US confirmed cases of COVID-19 climbing over a million, deaths from COVID-19 in the US climbing over 60,000 and over 235,000 worldwide. Exhausting and TGIF. So what happened on the SPX over...
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The Power Of Faith
I have a gap in my work schedule this morning as we wait for the Fed this afternoon, so I thought I'd do a quick update on the inflection point that SPX has reached today, and talk about why the still very pervasive faith in the power of the Fed to keep asset prices up...
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An Overflow Of Good Converts To Bad
I have a Shakespeare theme with the title today, which is a quote from Richard III. I am a lifelong Shakespeare lover and have been using some of my quarantine time watching film versions of some of his plays, of which I have about thirty or so in total, many of which were beautifully done....
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Oil And The Old Chinese Curse
My last few posts have been a coronavirus COVID-19 series, so I'm putting in the links here so as to refer back to them easily for now. These are the twelve posts so far. I'm planning to finish this series with a post on the likely economic impact of COVID-19 over the coming year, and...
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Rally Bear Flag Setup Much Improved
My last few posts have been a coronavirus COVID-19 series, so I'm putting in the links here so as to refer back to them easily for now. These are the eleven posts so far. I'm planning to finish this series with a post on the likely economic impact of COVID-19 over the coming year, and...
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Silent Spring
My last few posts have been a coronavirus COVID-19 series, so I'm putting in the links here so as to refer back to them easily for now. These are the ten posts so far. I'm planning to finish this series with a post on the likely economic impact of COVID-19 over the coming year, and...
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The Second Mouse
My last few posts have been a coronavirus COVID-19 series, so I'm putting in the links here so as to refer back to them easily for now. These are the nine posts so far. 18th February - Peering Through The Fog Around Coronavirus COVID-19 24th February - Some Genuine Coronavirus Numbers Coming Through 28th February...
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The Ghost Of 1987
My last few posts have been a coronavirus COVID-19 series, so I'm putting in the links here so as to refer back to them easily for now. These are the seven posts so far. 18th February - Peering Through The Fog Around Coronavirus COVID-19 24th February - Some Genuine Coronavirus Numbers Coming Through 28th February...
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