Welcome to this week’s Crypto Market Weekly Outlook, post #458, where we provide a comprehensive analysis of the latest developments and price movements across major cryptocurrencies. Stay ahead of the market trends with our expert insights on what to watch for in the coming days. This week, we continue to leverage our proprietary trading algorithm, designed to enhance your trading strategies and increase the odds of capturing significant gains in the volatile crypto mark
Prices reflect the November 7 evening cryptocurrency snapshot, with approximate seven-day changes. Markets trade continuously, so prices may differ at publication time.
Cryptocurrency markets remained under pressure as institutional ETF withdrawals, tighter liquidity expectations, and weakness in technology stocks weighed on digital assets.
Bitcoin traded near $76,000, while Solana, XRP, Cardano, and Hyperliquid experienced larger weekly declines. The broader market remains defensive, with investors favoring Bitcoin over most speculative altcoins.
Despite the correction, financial institutions continue developing tokenized deposits, stablecoin payments, custody services, and blockchain settlement infrastructure.
The long-term adoption story remains constructive, but near-term cryptocurrency prices need stronger institutional demand and improving liquidity.
Cryptocurrency Market
Bitcoin (BTC): $75,780 — down approximately 2.2%
Bitcoin struggled to recover above $80,000 as institutional ETF withdrawals accelerated.
The $73,000–$75,000 area is an important downside reference. A sustained recovery above $80,000 would provide stronger confirmation of improving investor confidence.
Ethereum (ETH): $2,237 — down approximately 0.7%
Ethereum held up relatively better during the week but remains below its approximate 50-day moving average.
The network continues to benefit from institutional interest in tokenized financial products and blockchain settlement. I am watching $2,200 for support and $2,400–$2,500 for recovery.
Solana (SOL): $89.71 — down approximately 6.0%
Solana experienced another difficult week, falling below $90.
Institutional settlement and tokenized securities remain important long-term opportunities, but price momentum is weak. I am watching $85 for support and $100–$110 for recovery.
XRP: $1.160 — down approximately 7.0%
XRP declined as broader altcoin demand weakened. Ripple’s banking, custody, and stablecoin initiatives remain constructive, but the token has not demonstrated stronger market momentum.
The immediate levels to watch are $1.10 for support and $1.25–$1.35 for recovery.
BNB: $695.36 — down approximately 1.0%
BNB demonstrated relative resilience compared with several major altcoins.
Trading activity and ecosystem adoption remain important investment drivers. I am watching $675–$700 for stabilization and $750 for recovery.
Cardano (ADA): approximately $0.182 — down approximately 6.0%
Cardano remained under pressure as investors reduced exposure to smaller cryptocurrency assets.
The $0.18 level is an important reference. Recovery above $0.20 would improve the near-term picture.
Dogecoin (DOGE): $0.0716 — down approximately 5.4%
Dogecoin continued weakening as speculative demand declined.
I am watching $0.07 for support and $0.08–$0.085 for recovery.
Hyperliquid (HYPE): $77.75 — down approximately 11.1%
Hyperliquid reversed much of its recent strength, demonstrating the volatility associated with decentralized trading platforms.
I remain interested in its trading volume, fee generation, and platform adoption, but I would keep speculative exposure limited until prices stabilize.
The immediate references are $70–$75 for support and $85–$90 for recovery.
Key Market Drivers
1. Bitcoin ETF withdrawals increased sharply
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced approximately $1.28 billion in net outflows during November 2–6, their weakest week since late June.
BlackRock’s IBIT recorded approximately $403 million in withdrawals on Friday alone.
These flows suggest institutional investors are reducing exposure rather than accumulating aggressively.
2. Ethereum and Solana ETFs also experienced outflows
Ethereum investment products experienced approximately $365 million in net weekly withdrawals, while Solana products also recorded outflows.
The weakness across multiple ETF categories reinforces the broader reduction in cryptocurrency risk appetite.
3. Strong employment reduces expectations for monetary easing
October employment increased by 165,000 jobs, while unemployment declined to 4.1%.
The stronger labor market could encourage the Federal Reserve to maintain restrictive interest rates or consider additional tightening.
This is particularly important for cryptocurrencies because speculative asset valuations remain sensitive to liquidity and monetary policy.
4. Technology-stock weakness affects crypto sentiment
The Nasdaq declined 3.37%, while semiconductor stocks lost approximately 12%.
Although cryptocurrencies and technology shares have different fundamentals, both are influenced by changes in liquidity and investor risk appetite.
5. Institutional blockchain adoption continues
Banks and financial companies are expanding tokenized deposits, stablecoin payments, and blockchain settlement services.
The developments remain attractive over the long term, but investors must distinguish increasing blockchain usage from the potential investment returns of individual tokens.
Emerging Crypto Projects & Ecosystem News
SoFi develops tokenized banking services
SoFi recently announced tokenized deposit capabilities through SOFIE, alongside its SoFiUSD stablecoin initiative.
The objective is to combine conventional bank deposits with blockchain-based financial transactions, creating additional options for digital payments and transfers.
Ripple expands institutional custody relationships
Ripple recently announced an expanded collaboration with a major U.S. bank involving institutional digital asset custody and potential tokenized trade-finance applications.
This reinforces Ripple’s efforts to extend beyond cryptocurrency trading into financial infrastructure.
Regulated digital asset banking continues expanding
Recent developments involving bank custody, trust-company approvals, and stablecoin issuance demonstrate that traditional financial institutions continue investing in digital assets despite market weakness.
Tokenized securities remain a growing market
Blockchain infrastructure providers are developing the pricing, custody, and settlement capabilities required to bring traditional financial products onto blockchain networks.
Tokenized bonds, equities, and money-market instruments remain important areas to monitor.
The strongest projects will be those that demonstrate actual transaction activity, reliable revenue, institutional participation, and transparent token economics.
Market Sentiment & Outlook
My near-term outlook remains cautious.
Three developments would increase confidence in a cryptocurrency recovery:
- Bitcoin stabilizes above $73,000–$75,000 and recovers $80,000.
- Institutional ETF flows turn consistently positive.
- Ethereum, Solana, and other major altcoins begin outperforming Bitcoin.
Tuesday’s CPI and Friday’s PPI releases could significantly influence Treasury yields, Federal Reserve expectations, and cryptocurrency prices.
I would prefer to see sustained buying following those announcements rather than react to an initial short-term rally.
Support and Resistance Levels
| Cryptocurrency | Support Reference | Resistance Reference |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | $75,000 / $73,000 | $78,000 / $80,000 |
| Ethereum | $2,200 / $2,000 | $2,400 / $2,500 |
| Solana | $85 / $80 | $100 / $110 |
| XRP | $1.10 / $1.05 | $1.25 / $1.35 |
| BNB | $675 / $650 | $725 / $750 |
| Cardano | $0.18 / $0.17 | $0.20 / $0.22 |
| Dogecoin | $0.07 / $0.065 | $0.08 / $0.085 |
| Hyperliquid | $75 / $70 | $85 / $90 |
These are monitoring reference levels, not guaranteed support or resistance.
GARCH Volatility Outlook — 90 Days
The following are illustrative 90-day scenarios rather than the results of a newly estimated statistical GARCH model.
| Cryptocurrency | Current Price | Illustrative 90-Day Range | Central Scenario |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $75,780 | $60,000–$98,000 | $82,000 |
| ETH | $2,237 | $1,650–$3,000 | $2,450 |
| SOL | $89.71 | $60–$140 | $105 |
| XRP | $1.160 | $0.80–$1.75 | $1.35 |
| BNB | $695.36 | $500–$925 | $750 |
| ADA | $0.182 | $0.12–$0.29 | $0.22 |
| DOGE | $0.0716 | $0.04–$0.11 | $0.085 |
| HYPE | $77.75 | $45–$125 | $90 |
The ranges demonstrate the substantial uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrency valuations. A statistically calibrated forecast would require updated daily return data and volatility estimates.
Long-Term View
I continue to believe the strongest cryptocurrency investment opportunities will involve financial infrastructure with measurable commercial adoption.
Stablecoin payments, tokenized deposits, institutional custody, securities settlement, and decentralized exchanges are becoming more integrated into traditional financial markets.
However, not all cryptocurrencies will benefit equally. Investors should prioritize genuine users, sustainable revenue, strong liquidity, transparent token supply, and institutional participation.
Bitcoin remains my preferred core asset, while Ethereum and Solana provide exposure to blockchain-based financial applications. Hyperliquid remains a higher-risk opportunity in decentralized trading.
GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) volatility model
The following charts present 6-month historical price trends for the top eight cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, SOL, LINK, XRP, BNB, ADA, and DOGE), using the GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) volatility model, which is commonly used in financial markets to capture the clustering nature of volatility—periods of high volatility tend to follow high volatility, and calm periods tend to persist. Using recent return data, the model projects expected volatility levels and translates them into forecast price bands with midpoint targets and potential highs under strong momentum scenarios. This is trial for the next 4 weeks and will be enhanced.
Bitcoin (BTC)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±2.5–4.5%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$60,000 – $78,000
Midpoint Target: ~$69,000
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$85,000–$90,000 if ETF inflows re-accelerate and macro risk stabilizes.
Risk Case:
Break below $60K opens downside toward ~$54K.
Ethereum (ETH)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±3–5%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$1,750 – $2,300
Midpoint Target: ~$2,050
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$2,500–$2,700 if staking demand and L2 activity expand.
Risk Case:
Sustained trade below $1,750 exposes $1,600.
Solana (SOL)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±4–6%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$72 – $105
Midpoint Target: ~$90
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$120–$135 if high-beta rotation returns.
Risk Case:
Loss of $72 support targets mid-$60s.
Chainlink (LINK)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±4–7%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$7.50 – $11.00
Midpoint Target: ~$9.25
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$12–$14 on renewed oracle/RWA demand.
Risk Case:
Break below $7.50 shifts bias negative.
XRP (XRP)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±4–6%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$1.20 – $1.65
Midpoint Target: ~$1.45
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$1.85–$2.10 on ETF/legal tailwinds.
Risk Case:
Below $1.20 reopens sub-$1.00 territory.
BNB (BNB)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±2.5–4.5%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$560 – $700
Midpoint Target: ~$640
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$760–$820 if exchange volumes surge.
Risk Case:
Break under $560 weakens structure.
Cardano (ADA)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±4–7%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$0.24 – $0.34
Midpoint Target: ~$0.29
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$0.38–$0.42 if alt-season resumes.
Risk Case:
Loss of $0.24 exposes $0.20.
Dogecoin (DOGE)
Expected Daily Volatility: ±5–8%
90-Day Consolidation Range:
$0.075 – $0.115
Midpoint Target: ~$0.095
Momentum Upside Scenario:
$0.13–$0.15 on retail/meme rotation.
Risk Case:
Below $0.075 shifts to bearish structure.
Advanced Blockchain Investments
The previous post have included Advanced Blockchain Investments. The blockchain space has rapidly evolved beyond simple cryptocurrency trading, offering investors various innovative ways to maximize returns.
08th Nov 2026