Category: Chart Chat

No Improbability Drive

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying on Wednesday that the decent looking bullish setup was still there, but in the light of the Fed Chairman's candid comments about future policy over the last few days a significant drive higher was looking improbable. I was looking for a test of weekly pivot at 4007 and then a fail there...

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Category: Chart Chat

The Dove That Didn’t Coo

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was writing about the very attractive looking bull flag setups on SPX, NDX and IWM that are setting up possible tests of the February highs. We saw the retracement that I was expecting then but SPX has broken back below the weekly pivot at 4007 on the press conference yesterday by the Fed Chairman....

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Category: Chart Chat

A Cluster Of Flags

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Support has been tested hard over the last couple of weeks on SPX, and the week before last there was a potentially interesting break below the 50 week moving average, currently at 4002, and then a test of the weekly middle band, now at 3960. Had SPX managed to close last week again below the...

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Category: Chart Chat

Rallying From Major Support

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]We saw the breakdown on SPX that I was warning about on my last post, and so far SPX is finding support in the 4000 area, which is the obvious support level as there is an intersection of decent support levels here. There are hourly buy signals fixed overnight on all of the six equity...

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Category: Chart Chat

Possible Break Down Starting

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was hoping that SPX would go higher and test a possible resistance trendline in the 4300 area and that is still possible, but reviewing the charts over the weekend there is a strong possibility that SPX is about to break down. So far the high is a near perfect backtest of the monthly middle...

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Category: Chart Chat

Very Important Resistance Area Here

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The possible H&S I was looking at on Friday morning didn't form and the move to retest the prior high has done some interesting technical damage to the bear case, so I wanted to have a look at that this morning. The SPX hourly chart below shows the break over declining resistance from the all...

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Category: Chart Chat

Turning As Expected So Far

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I'm finding it difficult to get back into doing more than one post a week. I shall try hard to get two out next week. On SPX a week ago I was looking for a reversal under declining resistance from the all time high, and ideally a decline and high retest to set up a...

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Category: Chart Chat

Friday The Thirteenth

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I mentioned in my post a week ago that on a break back over the daily middle band there were fixed buy signals on the daily and hourly charts that might carry SPX significantly higher and so it was, with SPX hitting 3997 at the high yesterday, and those buy signals have now all made...

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Category: Chart Chat

Much Ado About Nothing

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I had an interesting December with a nasty case of COVID after I moved, and a slow and intermittent recovery. Feeling better now and I lost a stone over the month so my January diet was at least cancelled. :-) So where are we now on SPX after the rally from the low in mid-November?...

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Category: Chart Chat

Flags – As Above So Below

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I'm in the throes of moving house at the moment and am struggling to get posts out so there may be just one a week or so until I've finished in three or four weeks. It looks like I may actually need to take a whole week off at the end of the month which...

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