Tag: SPX

Taking Stock

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my post on Friday 6th August last year I was looking at a possible backtest scenario on SPX that could be setting up and I reviewed how that is looking on my first post this year, as I was thinking, and am still thinking, that backtest may well be delivered over the next few...

read more

Tag: SPX

So Far So Good

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my last post I was talking about an SPX target in the 4500 area as long as SPX stayed under the daily middle band. Since then we saw a short lived break above the daily middle band but SPX failed to convert that back to support and has delivered a new retracement low today....

read more

Tag: SPX

A Big Picture Review

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my post on Friday 6th August I was looking at a possible backtest scenario on SPX that could be setting up and I'd like to review how that is looking on my first post this year, as I think that backtest may well be delivered over the next few weeks. That backtest would be...

read more

Tag: SPX

Choices Choices

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX did the lower low I was expecting in my last post and found support at the rising support trendline from the March 2020 low, as I had suggested it might. The strong rally since then is now within striking distance of a retest of the all time high, and if seen, the normal range...

read more

Tag: SPX

The Daily Lower Band Ride

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The mean reversion move that I was looking for in my posts over the last two weeks has now completed, with SPX breaking below the 45dma, now at 4562. That is the main target for the move hit, though that doesn't mean that the low is necessarily in, or close. There are some signs that...

read more

Tag: SPX

Approaching Key Support

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was talking in my last post on Friday about the likely mean reversion move coming that should at least return SPX to a backtest of the 45dma, now at 4549. The low so far today has taken SPX down to the 4565 area, so that is getting close, and SPX is now in an...

read more

Tag: SPX

Thanksgiving Thoughts

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]UPDATE NOTE - Since I wrote this post last night, SPX/ES has obviously broken down from the asymmetric double top there with alternate targets in the 4540 and 4515 (both SPX) areas, though so far, NDX/NQ has not yet broken down. So far this week SPX has defied the historically bullish tape over Thanksgiving and...

read more

Tag: SPX

Options For Next High

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]As I was saying in my last post on Monday, the all time high on SPX a few days before was at an impressive 5.54% over the 45dma and, excluding the spike up after the low last year, was one of the highest against the 45dma in the last decade. This is a good indication...

read more

Tag: SPX

Mean Reversion Looks Close

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The last high on SPX reached a few days ago was an impressive 5.54% above the 45dma, one of the highest readings in the last decade excluding the initial spike up from the March 2020 low, and slightly above the 5.4% reached at the early 2018 high. Coupled with the strong punch over the NDX...

read more

Tag: SPX

Another Day, Another Inflection Point

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was saying yesterday that I was expecting the decision in yesterday's inflection point to be made fairly quickly and so it was. The smaller NDX H&S pattern I showed broke down at the open this morning and has now made target. NDX 5min chart:[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="119393" img_size="large" alignment="center" onclick="img_link_large"][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]That has completed the larger H&S pattern...

read more
Swap your javascript code above