[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX has been consolidating for a few days now, and generally speaking a consolidation like this leans bullish. I gave the ideal target for this rally at the weekly middle band and that remains the case in my view. That is now in the 4294 area. SPX weekly chart:[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="130988" img_size="large" alignment="center" onclick="img_link_large"][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In the short...
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Marking Time
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my last post a week ago I was talking about the prospects on SPX for testing the weekly middle band, currently at 4312, on this rally, with particular reference to the very historically bullish two first days of June, which were the last two days. Unfortunately for the bulls, these were both wasted in...
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Holiday Rally Setup
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX closed below the main SPX support/resistance trendline at the end of last week. This trendline has broken twice since 2009, and both times SPX followed through hard. In 2011 SPX broke very hard through it and never broke back over it until until 2020. In 2020 SPX broke over it, then closed the next...
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SPX Breaks Main Support Trendline
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]I was disappointed to see SPX close well below the main support and resistance trendline on Friday. This has only happened twice since the start of 2009, and on both occasions SPX followed through the break with force. Two instances is somewhat less than a statistically significant sample, but further downside is now undoubtedly open,...
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Retest Interruptus
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]After the low last week very decent quality IHS patterns formed on SPX, NDX, IWM and Dow and broke up this week. They all failed, setting up targets at the retest of last week's lows, which would generally all be reached, so the fact that only Dow has delivered that retest so far tells us...
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Decent Looking Candidate Low
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]SPX rallied hard on Friday and so closed back well above my retracement target support trendline, so that has held on a weekly basis and may still hold as the retracement low here. So how is this low looking as a possible retracement low? The first thing to say that my possible very bullish scenario...
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Friday The Thirteenth
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my posts over recent weeks I have been following on from my post of 6th August 2021 when I was looking at the possibility that there would be a retracement this year to backtest a major broken resistance trendline on SPX, and the possible very bullish setup that a good retest would partially confirm....
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Testing Ideal Backtest Area
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my posts last week I was talking about my post of 6th August 2021 when I was looking at the possibility that there would be a retracement this year to backtest a major broken resistance trendline on SPX, and the possible very bullish setup that a good retest would partially confirm, and I looked...
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Another Three Day Rule Target
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In my post earlier this week I was talking about my post of 6th August 2021 when I was looking at the possibility that there would be a retracement this year to backtest a major broken resistance trendline on SPX, and the possible very bullish setup that a good retest would partially confirm, and I...
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Oversold Bounce
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]On 5th July last year I was updating my SPX monthly chart and added a scenario for a retracement that I thought might take place in the next few months, and talked about that in webinars at theartofchart.net. On 6th August I then wrote a post about that scenario looking for a backtest of a...
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