Tag: NDX

Upside Targets

As I was saying in my last post, SPX should be back into an upwards cycle by the end of October and that would be likely to end by the end of November. SPX has duly now made new all time highs and is likely to go higher. Let's have a look at the most...

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Tag: NDX

Choices, Choices

One way of looking at markets is as a succession of inflection points or probability forks, at which there are generally a higher and lower probability option which, once taken, take the markets to the next in that series, either eliminating or significantly changing the paths not taken at that inflection point. We've been looking...

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Tag: NDX

Backtest Or Retest?

The first move down on equities has delivered nicely, and at this point the time has come for the rally that is in progress at the moment. Now on the bigger picture this is an inflection point test of trend resistance, and the alternate inflection point outcomes are either a failure at resistance into another...

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Tag: NDX

So Here We Are Then

Last Friday, I was saying that my preferred scenario on SPX would deliver a marginal new rally high to make the second high of a double top to then take SPX back into the 2600-50 area. We have seen that marginal higher high, the middle of this cycle high window is today, and the stats...

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Tag: NDX

Back On The Three Day Rule

I was looking at the likely reversal back up on Friday morning and obviously we have seen that. ES/SPX have since broken back strongly over the multiple resistance levels in the 2660-70 area, weekly and monthly pivots, daily middle band 5dma and 50 hour MA. So now what? Well in the short term a retracement...

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Tag: NDX

Retest Interruptus

I was making the argument before the open this morning that equity indices were so close to obvious resistance on NQ, RTY, DAX and ESTX50, that ES might well deliver a lower high this morning and fail hard there. So far that has delivered though this morning's high might need a retest. Premarket Video from theartofchart.net -...

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Tag: NDX

Topping Out …….. Probably

SPX and NDX reached the resistance areas that I was looking at and may be topping out there, the rising wedge support trendlines on SPX, NDX and RUT have all now broken down. So what now? Well on SPX I have been watching three levels which are all currently in the same area. These are...

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Tag: NDX

SPX Rising Channel Support Broken

I was looking this morning at the decent looking possible rising wedge resistance trendline established on SPX at the highs this week and watching with great interest as rising channel and now possibly wedge support was tested again this morning. The trendline held on the first test and then broke on the second, so there...

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Tag: NDX

Fine Charts and Great Coffee

If you read my post on Friday talking about the rising channel on SPX that could deliver an all time high retest within weeks, then you know what I see as the key support level on SPX and that is of course that rising channel support trendline, now in the 2750 area and rising at about 42...

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Tag: NDX

Topping Out, Probably

SPX went up through both of the annual pivot and 50dma resistance levels and has come close to a test of declining resistance from the all time highs, now in the 2690 area. I was talking earlier this month about the vital importance of monthly closing resistance at the monthly middle band, now at 2664....

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